Zero wins from eight races, and today's wet turf is brand new territory for this horse. The positive is that Oisin Murphy — one of the best jockeys in the country — rides, and the trainer-jockey pairing has a decent record together winning roughly 1 in 5 races, but the horse itself has given little reason to be confident.
Never raced on wet ground
Trainer Quotes
May 2025
"She's nice. She's been second twice and wasn't beaten far last time at Haydock behind Previse. She just needs the rub of the green to get her head in front and could go back to Haydock on Friday. 29-05-25"
Three top-three finishes on the spin looked promising, but the most recent run at Chester was a shocker — beaten 24 lengths and finishing 15th. The worry is that performance erases the previous good work, and this horse has never won on normal or dry ground in 12 attempts.
B. Ffrench Davis(5)
·
L. Williamson
· 6yo
· 9st 5lb
· OR 65
HeadgearFreshness
12
Good Value
Wearing hoodFresh (199 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The standout fact here is that Lesrico has the best record in this field at today's trip of 1m2f — winning 1 from 5 at this distance, including a runner-up finish right here at Haydock. Returning from six months off is a concern, but the combination of track form and the right distance makes this one worth watching.
Four second-place finishes in the recent record tell you this horse has genuine ability, but converting that into wins has been the problem — and the last run at Southwell was a flat sixth. No wins in five races on left-handed galloping tracks like Haydock is a specific worry that the editorial verdict hopes a run under the belt can shake off.
Among the fancied runners (9.5)
Trainer Quotes
Sep 2025
"We've always thought he was a talented horse and he's come back in great form after nearly a year off. He won at Carlisle in June and has finished second four times, which is very frustrating, but he's more than capable off his mark. Soft ground is pretty key so he's had a midsummer break in preparation for an autumn campaign running into the all-weather. He's got 10lb in hand if we can get him right on the day. 04-09-25"
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (33% win rate)Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by some distance — 41 races compared to a field average of 17 — and crucially the one with the best record on wet ground, having won 1 from just 3 tries on it. The editorial verdict picks this as the most solid each-way option, and consistent recent form including a second-place finish 55 days ago backs that up.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)Most experienced (41 runs, field avg 17)
Trainer Quotes
Jul 2023
"This colt made a winning start to his career when taking a mile maiden at Newbury, when I thought he had a good chance. Last time out I sent him to Newmarket for his handicap debut but the ground was too fast. When he won it was soft and we have learned that he must have plenty of give underfoot to be his best. I think he is on a nice mark (81) when the ground is right. 11-07-23"
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 2 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 5.1, and a recent winner at Lingfield 24 days ago — but there's a big red flag hiding in the data: no wins from 15 races on left-handed tracks that favour long-striding galloping horses, and Haydock fits that description perfectly. Today's wet ground is also new territory for this horse.
Never raced on wet ground3 straight top-3 finishesMarket favourite (5.1)
Wearing tongue strapFresh (402 days off)Won 1 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The best win rate in the field on paper — winning 1 in every 5 races — but that's built on just five career outings, the most recent of which was over 13 months ago, making this the longest absence in the field. Like Dragonflame, this horse has never raced on wet ground, so both the fitness and the ground conditions are significant question marks.
Never raced on wet groundAbsent 402 days (longest in field)Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Three solid wins from 21 races, but all the recent form has come on the artificial surface at Southwell — today is turf in wet conditions, which this horse has never encountered before. Three straight fourth-place finishes suggest it's in a decent rhythm, but switching to proper wet turf is a real step into the unknown.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in this field who has actually won at Haydock, which is a meaningful advantage when drawing bias and track knowledge come into play. The catch is a damning record in wet conditions — no wins from five races on soft ground and none from three on heavy — which directly conflicts with today's wet forecast.
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
At ten years old, Red Derek is by far the oldest horse in the race and is rated 13 pounds below the field average — the biggest gap of any runner here. The one genuinely interesting number is a 25% win rate on heavy ground, but the record at this very track reads five visits, zero wins.
Lowest rated, 13lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
One of the least experienced horses in the field with just eight races to its name, and the record so far is bleak — no wins and only one placed finish, with the last two runs producing eighth-place finishes. Hard to make a case for this one without more evidence it can compete at this level.
Wins 1 in every 5 races overall, and specifically 40% of the time at today's distance of 1m2f — which is a standout stat in this field. The concern is a poor run at Redcar 32 days ago and no wins in six races on left-handed galloping tracks, which is exactly the type of course Haydock is.
Nine races and still no win, returning after more than seven months off the track — two things that don't inspire confidence. Crucially, this horse has never raced on wet ground before, so today's conditions are a complete unknown, and the jockey and trainer have never worked together before either.
Never raced on wet groundUnfancied in the market despite a high rating
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.