Gowran Park
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Super Value
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick, and the standout marker backs it up: the best career win rate in the field, winning roughly 1 in every 9 races compared to the field average of around 1 in 18. It comes back to form on the back of a Dundalk win 49 days ago and a fifth at Leopardstown — a track where the form is considered better than the bare result suggests. The low draw in stall 4 is an added bonus given how strongly the inside berths perform here.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 9)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in the field with just seven races to its name, but it has already raced at this track and finished third just 15 days ago — that recent course form is a genuine positive. Still to win in any of those seven races, though, and the draw in stall 12 falls in the middle band where Gowran Park's data is noticeably unkind.
Relatively inexperienced (7 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Has the best record in the field at this exact trip of one mile, winning 1 from 5 attempts at the distance — a better return than most rivals can show here. However, it was a well-beaten 11th at this same course just 15 days ago, and the low stall 2 draw is one of the few genuine positives given the strong bias favouring the inside berths at Gowran Park.
Best record at this trip (1 from 5)
TrackLab Insight
Carries the highest rating in this field by 3lbs, which makes it the one to beat on paper — but that advantage hasn't translated into wins, with just 1 victory from 27 races. The draw in stall 9 is also a concern: the data here strongly favours low draws, and the middle-to-high berths have a poor record at this course and distance. Finished 7th last time out and hasn't won since a Dundalk success over four months ago.
Top rated by 3lbs
Market favourite (6.0)
TrackLab Insight
Remarkably, this horse races today having also run at Cork just yesterday — a turnaround of one day between races is highly unusual and makes assessing its condition almost impossible, especially since the Cork result isn't recorded in the data. It has shown ability at today's trip, winning roughly 1 in 5 at a mile, and it has never raced on slightly soft ground before, leaving today's conditions as yet another unknown.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Runs again after just 1 days
TrackLab Insight
One of the higher-rated horses in the field at a mark of 57, but recent form is hard to excuse — beaten well in sixth, eighth, and thirteenth in its last three races. It has shown it can perform on today's slightly soft ground, winning roughly 1 in 6 races in those conditions, but its record on right-handed, galloping tracks like Gowran Park is a blank from 12 attempts.
2nd highest rated (OR 57)
TrackLab Insight
Nearly 50 races into its career with just two wins to show for it, and recent form of 7th and 8th in its last two races doesn't suggest a change in fortunes is imminent. It does have form at today's trip, and the stall 11 draw is mid-field — not ideal given the course bias towards low draws — but its record on slightly soft ground isn't a strength either.
Among the more experienced (49 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Still without a win after five races, and a distant 11th at Killarney just eight days ago makes this a tough case to argue. The bigger unknown is that it has never raced on slightly soft ground before, so today's conditions are a genuine question mark that nobody can answer in advance.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
TrackLab Insight
A 10-year-old veteran with 41 races on the clock and a career that is running out of surprises, having won just twice in all that time. The draw in stall 17 is deeply unhelpful given the strong bias towards low numbers at this course, and its last run here 41 days ago ended in 12th place.
Among the more experienced (41 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Returning from over six months off the track, with the last outing ending in a fall — not the ideal preparation for a big field handicap. It has also never won at Gowran Park in six attempts here, and its best form on distance is over much longer trips of a mile and a half to two miles, which suggests today's mile may be too sharp.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
TrackLab Insight
Four career wins and a strong record over today's trip of seven furlongs to a mile — winning roughly 1 in 4 at those distances — give this eight-year-old some genuine credentials. The catch is that all its best form has come on normal or fast ground, with zero wins from five races on soft ground, and today's slightly wet conditions may blunt its chances.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by some distance — 58 races, compared to a field average of 27 — but experience and results are two different things, and Half Nutz has only won twice in all that time. Today's slightly soft ground is actually where it shows its better form, winning 1 in 7 on soft ground, but the stall 13 draw puts it firmly in the least favourable part of the track.
Most experienced (58 runs, field avg 27)
TrackLab Insight
The most straightforward case in the field to assess — and not in a good way. This horse has been off the track for over two years, has never won or placed in seven career races, and has never raced on slightly soft ground. There is simply nothing in the data to suggest it can make an impact on its comeback here.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Absent 793 days (longest in field)
TrackLab Insight
Returns from a break of nearly nine months having never won or placed in seven career races, with recent form figures that show consistent finishes in the bottom half of the field. It has also never raced on slightly soft ground before, so today adds another unknown on top of an already unconvincing record.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight in the field, which is the only measurable advantage here — because the form figures offer nothing to work with. Zero wins and zero places from seven career races, with a 48-length beating at Roscommon just nine days ago, make this a very difficult horse to back in an 18-runner field.
Carries lowest weight in field
TrackLab Insight
Drawn in the widest stall in the entire field at 18, and the data at this course and distance is brutal for high draws — just a 5% win rate compared to 11% for low draws. It has also never raced on slightly soft ground before, adding another unknown, and the result of its most recent race at Dundalk 40 days ago isn't even recorded in the data.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
TrackLab Insight
With four career wins, this is one of the more accomplished horses in the field on raw numbers — and its best form has come over today's trip of seven furlongs to a mile, winning roughly 1 in 6 at those distances. The problem is form: it was a distant 16th at Naas just 11 days ago, and it has never won at Gowran Park in six previous attempts here.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
Rated 8lbs below the field average — the lowest official rating in the entire race — which tells you exactly where the assessor places this horse relative to its rivals. Three wins from 56 races is a thin return, and recent form of 7th, 6th, and 6th in its last three outings suggests it is ticking over without threatening to win.
Lowest rated, 8lbs below average
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