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Alto Sax

There is something quietly persistent about Alto Sax. This five-year-old has lined up 27 times across a career that has produced 3 wins and 6 places — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 9 races, which is modest on paper but tells only part of the story. The horse is still very much in action, having raced just yesterday, and picked up a win at Dundalk as recently as seven weeks ago. This is not a horse winding down — it is a horse in the middle of things.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Saxon Warrior
Mother
Full Credit
Owner
Normal People Partnership
Rating
45

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
27
Career races
3
Wins
11.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
22.2%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That Dundalk win on 1 April 2026 is the latest chapter in a career that began to find its feet when Alto Sax broke through at Roscommon back in May 2024. Since then, Peter Fahey's yard in Monasterevin, Co. Kildare has kept the horse busy and competitive. Fahey has sent out 14 winners already this season, so this is a trainer who knows how to place a horse to win, and the fact that Alto Sax is still being targeted at races suggests the team believes there is more to come.

The key to unlocking this horse seems to be conditions. On normal ground, Alto Sax has won 2 from 7 races — that is a 29% win rate, which is genuinely sharp. To put that in perspective, nearly 1 in every 3 runs on a sound surface has ended in victory. Shift to different ground and that figure drops away sharply. The lesson is clear: when the ground is right, this horse turns up. Over seven furlongs to a mile, it has won 1 from 6 races, showing it handles that middle-distance trip well enough even if it has not dominated it.

The one relationship that raises an eyebrow is with regular jockey Leigh Roche. The pair have teamed up five times without a win between them — not a disaster, but not what you want to see from a partnership that keeps being tried. The recent form figures of 4-5-1-12-13-7 show a horse that can still hit the frame and produce a big run, but one that is inconsistent enough to keep punters honest. That 1 in the sequence — the Dundalk win — is the reason nobody is giving up on Alto Sax just yet.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 7 starts (29%)
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 17% win rate
Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 17% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Ok
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
5F – 6½F
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
20 May
4th
Gowran Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Yielding · 18 runners
12 Apr
5th
Leopardstown
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Yielding · 23 runners
1 Apr
🏆 Won
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 11 runners
30 Jan
12th
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 15 runners
9 Jan
13th
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 15 runners
26 Nov
7th
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 17 runners
24 Oct
11th
Dundalk
5f – 6½f · Standard · 17 runners
10 Oct
9th
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 17 runners
16 Sep
7th
Punchestown
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Yielding · 17 runners
22 Aug
4th
Killarney
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 18 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
Nicola Burns Current Jockey
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
Keithen Kennedy
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
11 1 win, 1 third, 9 other 1 Apr 9.1%
Gowran Park
Undulating
4 4 other 20 May 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 third 29 May 50%
Roscommon
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 20 May 50%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 12 Apr 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Sep 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Jun 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 2 Aug 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Apr 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 other 22 Aug 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 other 21 Jul 0%