Bath

The race editorial singles this out as the one to beat, with the trainer pointing it towards this specific race as a fresh opportunity. Only three career races in, it's a lightly raced horse with room to improve — and drawing stall one gives it a better position than most rivals given the low draw holds a small edge at Bath over this trip. The form is modest so far, but the potential upside is what makes it interesting.

This horse hasn't raced for 174 days — the longest absence in the field — so there's a real question mark over sharpness after such a lengthy break. Three career races have produced no wins and no placed finishes, and today's very dry conditions are unknown territory. There's plenty to prove before trusting this one.

The only horse in this field to have won at this distance — and crucially, that win came over today's trip of a mile. Wearing blinkers to sharpen focus, this horse has the best win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 7, though it hasn't raced on very dry ground before. Solid claims if the fast conditions aren't a problem.

The lowest-rated horse in the field, sitting 5lbs below the average rating, and carrying the lightest weight as a result. Four career races have brought one fourth-place finish and three finishes deep in the pack, and drawing the widest stall in a race where high draws have historically struggled at Bath doesn't help. Hard to see where the improvement comes from.