Bath
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All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The race preview's top pick, and the numbers back it up: the best career win rate in the field at roughly 1 win in every 6 races, a course-and-distance win to its name, and a sharp second at Lingfield just 13 days ago suggesting it is in great shape right now. It has the most wins at this trip of any horse here, with seven from 37 races over five furlongs. The one question mark is that its record on very dry, fast ground has been poor — zero wins from 15 attempts on good or firmer ground — which is a stat worth keeping in mind.
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (7 from 37)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Jockey in best form (1 from 10 last 2wk)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The market has made this the favourite, and the key reason is clear: it has won over this exact course and distance before, which no other horse in the field can match. The big worry is that it hasn't raced in 247 days — the longest absence in the field — and its last run was a beaten eighth. Horses returning from that long off the track can be rusty, so punters are taking a chance on it finding its best form straight away.
Has won over this course and distance
Absent 247 days (longest in field)
Market favourite (3.5)
TrackLab Insight
The standout fact here is that this horse has won twice from just six races at Bath, making it one of only two horses in today's field with a proven record at this course. That said, recent form has been poor — finishing outside the top five in five of its last six races — and the trainer-jockey combination has yet to click, with zero wins from nine runs together. Its best ground record is on fast conditions, so today's very dry surface could suit.
Course specialist (2 wins from 6 here)
Trainer Quotes
May 2021
"I thought he would need the run last week when making his debut at Nottingham and I was right to a degree, but he still ran a terrific race and had he not run green he could have won. He had a good blow afterwards and I am sure there is an awful lot of improvement to come. We will see how he builds on that run but Plan A at this stage is to win a maiden and then possibly go for the Coventry, but there is a lot of water to pass under the bridge before that. 29-05-21"
TrackLab Insight
Twenty races into its career and still waiting for a first win, Anglesey Lad has shown glimpses — including a second place at Brighton — but can't seem to seal the deal. It has never raced on today's very dry ground, adding another unknown to an already patchy record. Without a win to its name, it is hard to argue this horse is ready to break through against more proven rivals.
Never raced on very dry ground
Trainer Quotes
May 2024
"He ran really well last week at Brighton when he was unlucky not to win. The first-time blinkers helped him in the first part of the race more than anything as he wasn't getting into gear in enough time. He's well handicapped off his mark of 54 as he's a 65-rated horse on his day. He's been second on three of his last four starts and is unlucky not to have won by now, but he'll have his day. Five furlongs is too short for him and going up to 6f on a galloping track will suit him better. He may head to Carlisle on Friday and he'll be winning pretty soon. 30-05-24"
TrackLab Insight
Hasn't run on today's very dry, fast ground before, which is a real unknown given its best form came in wet conditions. Drifted dramatically in the market from a near-odds-on price, which is a concerning signal, and a poor run last time out at Kempton adds to the doubt. With trainer Tony Carroll yet to win in the past fortnight, this one faces a tough task.
Never raced on very dry ground
TrackLab Insight
Second-highest rated horse in the field and brings plenty of experience from 63 races, but hasn't run in over three months and has never won on normal ground conditions, let alone today's very dry surface. The jockey and trainer partnership has yet to produce a single win from 19 attempts together, which is a worrying combination. Consistent enough at lower-grade tracks like Wolverhampton, but Bath on fast ground looks like unfamiliar territory.
2nd highest rated (OR 53)
TrackLab Insight
Nine races into its career with no wins and a return from over seven months off the track — the facts here are blunt and hard to spin positively. Its last run at Bath ended in a 12th-place finish beaten nearly 18 lengths, and it has never raced on today's very dry ground. The lowest weight in the field gives it a small advantage on paper, but the overall profile makes this one very difficult to fancy.
Carries lowest weight in field
Never raced on very dry ground
TrackLab Insight
The most-raced horse alongside Coast in this field with 63 outings, but just 2 wins to show for it — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 30 races, which is the lowest of any horse here that has actually managed to win. It has never won at Bath in six attempts, never won on fast ground in nine attempts, and was beaten ten lengths at Salisbury just ten days ago. Hard to make a case for this one.
Among the more experienced (63 career races)
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by some distance — 80 races compared to a field average of 43 — but recent form has been deeply disappointing, finishing 7th, 11th and 9th in its last three outings. It has never raced on very dry ground and has managed only 2 wins from the 69 races it has run away from Lingfield, which is not this track. At 26-1, the market has made its view clear.
Lowest rated, 3lbs below average
Never raced on very dry ground
Most experienced (80 runs, field avg 43)
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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