Bath

Prodigal Son won at this very course just 13 days ago, making it the freshest winner in the field and giving it solid course-and-distance form heading in. The jockey, Rossa Ryan, is the best-performing rider here right now with three wins from his last 16 rides. The worry is a poor record on standard ground — no wins from three tries on similar conditions — which is worth keeping in mind despite that recent confidence boost.

Galaxy Wonder is the best-performed horse in this field, winning roughly one in every five races across a 20-race career, and has won two of its last three — including at this exact course 25 days ago. The big concern is that this horse has never won on dry ground, and today's conditions are dry, despite that strong recent form at Bath. If you can get past that unproven question on fast ground, this is the most compelling form horse in the race.

At nine years old, Party Island is by far the most experienced horse in this field with 43 races under its belt — the average for the others is 19. It also won here at Bath just 15 days ago, making it one of two course winners in today's race, and it carries the lightest weight of any runner. The serious concern is a record of zero wins from seven races on fast, dry ground — and that's exactly what it faces today.

Premier hasn't raced in over three months, which is the longest absence in this field by some distance — and that alone makes it hard to trust. The horse's best performances have come over much longer distances than today's mile-and-a-quarter, so the trip is also a question mark. The jockey has been in terrific form recently, winning three of his last four rides, but there's a lot working against this one on paper.