Bath
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Sky Sports Racing Virgin 519 "Confined" Handicap (No Win Since The 2025 Flat Turf Season)
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Thurso arrives as the top-rated horse in this field by 3lbs, and crucially has won twice from just three races on fast, dry ground — by far the best dry-ground record of any runner here. Draw 1 is also a genuine advantage at Bath over 6 furlongs, where low-drawn horses win far more often than those wider out. Recent form has been patchy, but the conditions tick every box.
Top rated by 3lbs
Best record on this ground (2 from 3)
TrackLab Insight
The editorial verdict makes Candy Warhol the one to beat, and three consecutive top-three finishes show he's in the best form of his recent career. He's switching to blinkers today for the first time, which is the key unknown — if that sharpens his focus, his consistency could prove decisive. The worry is that all three of his career wins came at Wolverhampton, and he has never won on dry ground in nine attempts.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Runs again after just 5 days
TrackLab Insight
The big red flag here is ground: Danger Alert has never won on dry or fast ground in 15 attempts, and that's exactly what he faces today. Running again just one day after finishing fourth at Windsor is also an unusual move, and his odds drifting out from 5.7 to 9.0 suggests the market shares those concerns. Hard to make a case for him given the conditions.
Runs again after just 1 days
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2025
"He's owned by Tim Rodber, a former England rugby player, and his wife. He's a horse who frustrates me because he's bubbling under. He was rated up in the 90s at one point but it hasn't been completely plain sailing with him. He's had a couple of niggles along the way and was unlucky at Sandown two runs back when he bumped into one. He'll probably have one more run this season but he's definitely a horse the owners are keen to keep in training and I absolutely support that decision because he's got down to a good mark. He's one of those sprinters who when things drop right will win two or three. It's unlikely it will be this autumn, but he's a horse I would hope that, after a winter of rest, will have a lucrative year next year for sure. 15-10-25"
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and the horse with the best win rate in the field — she wins roughly 1 in every 6 races, well ahead of most rivals here. She's also won twice from six races on fast, dry ground and has been running consistently at this very course, finishing third and fifth in her last two Bath appearances. Jockey Rossa Ryan is the in-form rider in this field with three wins from 16 races in the past fortnight.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Jockey in best form (3 from 16 last 2wk)
Market favourite (4.2)
TrackLab Insight
Hidden Verse is the only other horse in this field, alongside Under Curfew, to have actually won over this course and distance — that's a meaningful edge. However, his record on dry ground is a concern: no wins from three attempts on fast ground, and his last two runs have seen him beaten well at Pontefract and Bath. The course form is encouraging, but current conditions may not suit.
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (2 from 5)
TrackLab Insight
At nine years old, Some Nightmare is the most battle-hardened runner here with 54 races and 6 wins, but Bath is a major stumbling block — no wins in eight attempts at this course. His best form has come on good ground, which at least suits today, but his four Chepstow wins suggest he reserves his best for a very specific track. Hard to get excited at 19.0 given the poor Bath record.
One of the more successful in the field (6 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field with 71 races under his belt, Under Curfew is also the lowest-rated runner here, sitting 9lbs below the field average — a significant gap at this level. He has won over this course and distance before, which counts for something, but his overall win rate of roughly 1 in every 24 races tells its own story. At 10 years old, it would take a big performance to turn things around here.
Lowest rated, 9lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Has won over this course and distance
Most experienced (71 runs, field avg 36)
TrackLab Insight
Dapperling hasn't raced for 94 days — the longest absence in this field — and returns after three consecutive last-place finishes at Southwell. While she does have one win on fast, dry ground from six attempts, the combination of a long layoff, poor recent form, and odds drifting dramatically from 7.0 out to 29.0 paints a bleak picture. Difficult to recommend.
Absent 94 days (longest in field)
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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