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Danger Alert

There's a former rugby international with a stake in British racing, and his horse has been keeping the yard — sorry, keeping the team at George Baker's Epsom Downs yard — in a state of mild suspense for the better part of three years. Danger Alert is a 6-year-old with 3 wins from 38 races, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 13, and a personality that his own trainer describes as an enigma. That is not always a bad thing in a racehorse. Sometimes it means there's more to come.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Ardad
Mother
Sandy Times
Owner
George Baker
Rating
65

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
38
Career races
3
Wins
7.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
34.2%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Tomorrow
Windsor
About 6 furlongs · Mostly firm ground · 16 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The most recent win came at Chester in May 2023 — over 37 months ago now — and Baker's post-race comments are worth dwelling on. He described Danger Alert as a horse who needs to arrive late, who can get to the front too soon and then think about stopping, and who puts his head up when the pressure is on. That is a specific, fiddly profile to manage, and it explains why the wins have been rare. But Baker also noted that the horse was rated up in the 90s at one point, which for context puts him in genuinely competitive territory — and that a run at Sandown recently ended with bad luck rather than lack of ability. The trainer's word for him is "bubbling under," which is either encouraging or maddening depending on your patience levels.

The ownership story adds a nice layer. Tim Rodber, a former England rugby captain who won 44 caps in the 1990s, and his wife are the people backing this project. Baker is clear that they want to keep the horse in training, and that he fully agrees with that call. That kind of mutual belief, even after a winless run stretching across three years and six consecutive races without a victory, says something about what they think is still possible.

Pat Cosgrave has ridden Danger Alert seven times without a win between them, which is one of those statistical combinations that looks worse than it might be — the horse hasn't won for anyone in a long time. The yard itself is in decent form with 14 winners this season, so the infrastructure is there. One more run is planned before the season closes. Whether Danger Alert finally delivers or continues to tantalise is, at this point, almost beside the point. The team clearly believes the story isn't finished yet.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 7 starts (14%)
Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 6 starts (17%)
Excellent record on standard_to_slow ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on LH Undulating tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 May
4th
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
4 Dec
7th
chelmsford
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
25 Nov
4th
Lingfield Park
5f – 6½f · Standard · 11 runners
20 Oct
3rd
Bath
5f – 6½f · Soft · 9 runners
15 Oct
5th
Kempton Park
5f – 6½f · Standard_To_Slow · 12 runners
30 Sep
11th
Bath
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 17 runners
17 Sep
2nd
Sandown Park
5f – 6½f · Soft · 9 runners
15 Sep
4th
Brighton
5f – 6½f · Soft · 6 runners
25 Aug
2nd
Epsom Downs
5f – 6½f · Good · 7 runners
22 Aug
6th
Goodwood
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/7
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
2/4
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Liam Wright
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Jack Dace Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Kempton Park
Galloping
5 1 win, 4 other 15 Oct 20%
Goodwood
Undulating
4 4 other 22 Aug 0%
Windsor
Sharp
4 4 other 11 May 0%
Chester
Tight
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 12 Jul 33.3%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 16 Jan 33.3%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
3 1 second, 2 other 25 Aug 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
3 3 seconds 17 Sep 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
3 1 second, 2 other 25 Nov 0%
Bath
Undulating
2 1 third, 1 other 20 Oct 0%
Brighton
Undulating
2 1 second, 1 other 15 Sep 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 26 May 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Jul 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Jun 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Apr 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 second 5 Nov 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 4 Dec 0%