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Prodigal Son

There is a horse that looked lost for most of its career, and then found itself — at least briefly — at Bath on the 29th of April. Prodigal Son has taken a while to justify the name: across nine races, this four-year-old has managed just one win and two places, which works out at winning roughly 1 in every 9 outings. That is not a stunning record on paper. But the shape of the recent form is what catches the eye.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Grey
Father
Saxon Warrior
Mother
Cloud Illusions
Owner
Wetumpka Racing
Rating
68

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
9
Career races
1
Wins
11.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
22.2%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Look at the last six races and you see a story of a horse that was going nowhere — finishing 10th, then 9th, then 5th, then 8th — before suddenly coming home in third and then winning outright. That April victory at Bath was the first of its career, and it came just two weeks ago, so whatever clicked, it clicked recently. Whether that represents a genuine turning point or a good day in the sun is the question everyone around the horse will be trying to answer.

What is slightly puzzling is where that win came from, given the level Prodigal Son typically operates at. The horse has raced five times at Class 5 — the lower end of the racing ladder, where horses go to find winnable races — and had drawn a blank every single time before Bath. Zero wins from five attempts at that level is not what you expect from a horse that eventually breaks through, which makes that first win feel all the more surprising and all the more worth noting.

The trainer is Heather Main, who runs her yard out of Kingston Lisle in Oxfordshire. Main has sent out 17 winners already this season, which tells you this is not an outfit that struggles to get horses ready — it is a yard that knows what it is doing. The fact that Prodigal Son has been persisted with through nine races, and has now delivered, suggests the team always believed there was something there worth finding.

Prodigal Son raced just one day ago, so the horse is right in the middle of an active campaign. With a first win banked and the momentum of that third place just before it, this is a horse whose next run will tell us a great deal about whether Bath was a breakthrough or a blip.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Firm (dry)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 May
3rd
Bath
1m3f – 1m4f · Firm · 5 runners
29 Apr
🏆 Won
Bath
1m1f – 1m2f · Firm · 6 runners
10 Dec
8th
Kempton Park
5f – 6½f · Standard_To_Slow · 9 runners
29 Nov
5th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 8 runners
4 Nov
9th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 10 runners
1 Aug
10th
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
10 Jun
4th
Salisbury
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
16 May
5th
Newbury
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners
27 Dec
7th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mason Paetel
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Wolverhampton
Galloping
3 3 other 29 Nov 0%
Bath
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 third 12 May 50%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 16 May 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Dec 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 1 Aug 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 other 10 Jun 0%