:

Ballinrobe

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McGrath Limestone Works Handicap
Starts in
Awaiting result
Speed race · horses carry weights to make it fair About 1.2 miles Slightly soft ground 17 runners £5900 prize
Turf track
TrackLab's Top Pick
45
Strong chance
Super Value at 67/100
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
20+ Strong pick 12-19 Solid chance 6-11 In the mix Below 6 Outsider How scores work
J. M Sheridan · D. Gerard Hogan · 5yo · 10st 6lb · OR 64
Freshness Jockey
45
Super Value
Quick turnaround Jockey in form (3 wins in 14 days) Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The clear standout on official ratings — ranked 4lbs clear of the next best in this field — and he arrives here on the back of a win at Gowran Park just three days ago, which is an extremely quick turnaround. The big question mark is the wet ground today: he has never raced on soft or muddy conditions before, so nobody truly knows how he'll handle it, which explains why his odds have drifted sharply despite his obvious form claims.
Top rated by 4lbs Never raced on soft ground 3 straight top-3 finishes Runs again after just 3 days
R. Holohan(7) · P. W Flynn · 4yo · 10st 0lb · OR 58
Headgear Freshness
12
Good Value
Wearing cheekpieces Quick turnaround Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
She finished a narrow second at Sligo just five days ago, beaten by less than half a length, which makes this quick return look like an attempt to strike while the iron is hot. Still without a win from eight races, but her form has been improving sharply — four consecutive finishes of 4th, 4th, and now 2nd — and she arrives here in the best shape of her career.
Runs again after just 5 days
R. Whelan · J. S O'Donoghue · 4yo · 10st 1lb · OR 59
Form
9.6
Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Seven races into her career and still without a win — the most recent efforts show a fifth and a tenth, which doesn't suggest she's knocking on the door. Nothing in her profile stands out as particularly well-suited to today's conditions or this track, and at 17.0 the market isn't exactly screaming value either.
Mid-range in the market (17.0)
S. Foley · R. O'Sullivan · 4yo · 9st 11lb · OR 55
Freshness Form
9.6
Fresh (170 days off) Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
He hasn't raced in 170 days and has never run on soft or muddy ground before, so two significant unknowns stack up against him today. His best form came in back-to-back placed finishes at Dundalk on the artificial surface, and there's no evidence yet that he can translate that to wet turf conditions.
Never raced on soft ground Trainer in best form (1 from 11 last 2wk)
S. Coen(5) · A. McGuinness · 8yo · 10st 2lb · OR 60
Headgear Form
8.0
Wearing visor Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The second-highest rated horse in the race and a course specialist — but at Dundalk, not Ballinrobe, where his three career wins have all come on the artificial surface in normal conditions. Today's wet ground is a concern: his record shows zero wins from nine races on good turf, and he has never proven himself on a soft or muddy surface.
2nd highest rated (OR 60)
W. J Lee · G. Scott · 9yo · 9st 11lb · OR 55
Headgear Form
8.0
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
He won at Gowran Park 29 days ago — his one and only career win from 31 races — and that came on soft ground, which is a genuine positive tick for today. However, he has struggled badly on left-handed sharp tracks like Ballinrobe with zero wins from eight attempts there, which somewhat undermines the soft-ground angle.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Y. Geerdharry(7) · A. Murray · 6yo · 9st 7lb · OR 51
Form Ground
4.9
Won 0 of last 5 Loves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The most interesting ground angle among the outsiders — she has won 1 from 3 races on yielding ground, the best wet-ground record in this field outside of the favourite. She was second at Navan five weeks ago over a similar distance, which fits the profile of a horse that could outrun a 12.0 price if the soft conditions bring out the best in her.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
G. Ryan · A. McGuinness · 5yo · 10st 0lb · OR 58
Form
2.2
Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Thirteen races and not a single top-three finish in her entire career — that is the most stark record in this field. Her last two runs produced an 11th and a 14th, and the jockey-trainer combination here has yet to win together from 29 attempts, so there is very little in the data to latch onto.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
N. Burns(5) · R. P Burns · 7yo · 9st 11lb · OR 55
Headgear Form
2.2
Wearing blinkers Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
A significant ground problem: all three of Deuteronomy's career wins have come on fast, dry ground, and he has never won on soft, muddy, or any variation of wet ground across a combined 23 attempts in those conditions. Today's wet surface at Ballinrobe looks squarely against him, whatever ability he might have on a better day.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
B. Coen · B. Francis Cawley · 4yo · 10st 1lb · OR 59
Form Track
1.6
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Loves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Rated level with Jawhary but sent off at 41.0, making him one of the least fancied horses in the field despite carrying a reasonably competitive mark. He hasn't raced in nearly two months, his last result is unknown, and his record on a left-handed sharp track like Ballinrobe reads zero wins from five attempts — the data here doesn't give you much to work with.
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
13 Smooth
P. McGettigan(5) · C. Weld · 4yo · 9st 4lb · OR 48
Freshness Form
1.6
Fresh (175 days off) Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Returning from a five-and-a-half month break with zero wins and zero places from seven career races, her best recent finishes have been a pair of sevenths at Dundalk. There is very little here — form, fitness, or otherwise — to suggest she can make a meaningful impact against this field on her comeback.
Outsider at 51.0
Z. McMullan(10) · G. A Kingston · 9yo · 8st 10lb · OR 40
Freshness Form
1.6
Fresh (98 days off) Won 1 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a country mile — 51 races compared to a field average of 18 — and carries the joint-lowest weight as a result of his modest official rating. His four career wins have all come at Dundalk on the artificial surface in normal conditions, and his record on any form of wet or soft turf reads zero wins, making today's ground a real obstacle.
Carries lowest weight in field Most experienced (51 runs, field avg 18)
J. Ryan · P. Magee · 4yo · 9st 12lb · OR 56
Headgear Form
1.5
Wearing blinkers Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Seven races, zero wins, zero places, and her last two outings were a 9th and a 10th — beaten by huge distances on both occasions. The jockey and trainer haven't won together from 18 races as a combination, and at 51.0 the market has made its verdict plain.
Outsider at 51.0
C. Hayes · D. Gerard Hogan · 4yo · 9st 7lb · OR 51
Headgear Form
1.5
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Like the favourite Majestic King, he has never raced on soft or muddy ground before — but unlike Majestic King, his recent form offers no encouragement at all: a 13th and an 11th in his last two completed runs. The jockey-trainer combination has yet to win together from 12 attempts, and at 41.0 the market agrees.
Never raced on soft ground
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