Seventy is the market favourite and the form makes it easy to see why — three consecutive top-three finishes, including a win at Lingfield, is the best recent run of any horse in this field. He draws low in stall one, which is the best place to be at Windsor over this trip where low-drawn horses win far more often than those drawn wide. The editorial verdict backs him as the one to beat, and on current form that assessment is hard to argue with.
Won at this course & distanceFresh (187 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Fast Steps is the only horse in this field with a win over this exact course and distance at Windsor, which is a meaningful edge — course knowledge matters. The concern is that his best form on dry ground reads zero wins from 16 attempts, so the conditions here work firmly against him despite that course record. He also returns after a six-month absence and was well beaten last time out, so he needs to find something extra from somewhere.
Has won over this course and distance
Trainer Quotes
Jul 2024
"He was a very expensive yearling of Richard Hannon's and we bought him. He'd been a good workhorse at home and I think he had got used to being overtaken. As soon as he got headed in a race he'd give up, so we tried to ride him differently. He's a good-looking horse who's won a few races for us now and has got a lot of ability. He won last Thursday at Newbury under Oisin Murphy. 11-07-24"
Fresh (186 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Gone Rogue comes in with the best ground record among all the runners today — he has won 1 from 4 on dry conditions, which no other horse in this field can match for this surface. His recent form is also eye-catching: a win followed by a near-miss second suggests he was in good shape before his five-month break. The jockey, however, has gone 23 races without a win over the past fortnight, which is a concern worth noting.
Wearing blinkersFresh (202 days off)Trainer in formWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Lady Of The Isles has the longest absence in the field — over 200 days off — and arrives with six races and no wins to her name, not even a single place finish. She is the lowest-rated horse in the top half of the field and has been competing in lower-grade races without making an impression. Rossa Ryan is riding well at the moment, winning roughly 1 in 7 races over the past fortnight, but there is little in the data to suggest a first win is imminent.
Dropping in classWearing hoodFresh (116 days off)Jockey in form (2 wins in 14 days)Trainer in form
TrackLab Insight
Zhang Fei steps up two class levels today, which is a significant ask for a horse whose last three runs include a pulled up and two heavy defeats. His record on dry ground — which is what we have today — reads zero wins from 12 attempts, making conditions here a real problem. At eight years old and with his best form showing up on softer ground at longer distances, this race looks like a tough fit.
Steps up 2 classesTrainer in best form (4 from 17 last 2wk)Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Revich is one of the freshest horses in the field, racing just 26 days ago, and his three career wins all came at Class 2 level — significantly better company than today — which shows there is some real ability buried in there. The problem is his record on dry ground reads zero wins from seven attempts, and Windsor is a right-handed galloping track where he has also never won. He is in the right kind of race on paper, but the conditions work against him.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 4 times
TrackLab Insight
Moonlit Cloud carries the lowest weight in the race and is rated 7lbs below the field average — the biggest gap of any runner here — which tells you the handicapper does not fancy her chances against these rivals. Her record on dry ground is zero wins from six attempts, and she has never won on a right-handed galloping track in eight tries, both of which describe Windsor today. There is a brilliant horse in there somewhere — she wins roughly 1 in 3 at Bath — but the conditions here simply do not suit.
Lowest rated, 7lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
Fresh (201 days off)Jockey in form (7 wins in 14 days)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Three races into his career and Man From Havana has yet to finish in the top three — seventh, fifth, seventh is the full story so far. He has also never raced on dry ground like today, so this is genuinely new territory for him, and he returns after a six-month break to boot. Rob Hornby is riding in good form at the moment, winning roughly 1 in 4 races over the past fortnight, but that may not be enough to compensate for so many unknowns.
Never raced on dry groundLightly raced (3 career races)Jockey in best form (7 from 28 last 2wk)Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Fresh (193 days off)Won 1 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Blackwaterfoot has the best win rate of any horse in this field on paper — 1 win from 7 races — but the recent form completely undermines that headline figure, with a 13th-place finish last time out at Nottingham and zero wins from five races on dry ground. Like Man From Havana, he has never raced on a dry surface before today, so this is uncharted territory. Both jockey and trainer have drawn a blank in the last fortnight, making it hard to get excited here.
Never raced on dry groundBest record at this trip (1 from 3)Best career win rate in field (1 in 7)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.