Wexford

Relatively inexperienced with just 8 career races, and the most recent outing at Wexford 17 days ago ended in 2nd place—beaten 70 lengths, which reads as a complete non-event. The one win came at debut in January 2024; since then, limited evidence he belongs at this level, though the 25% win rate over his preferred 1m6f–2m distance offers some glimmer.

Winless from 11 career races—the only horse in the field without a single victory. Last outing 22 days ago was a pulled-up finish at Killarney, and before that, form reads as 0-0-0, suggesting this 6-year-old has yet to find the winning formula at any level.

The editorial selection based on a progressive profile, though the data tells a different story: a 10-year-old with just 2 wins from 34 races (6% win rate) and a pulled-up finish at Killarney 22 days ago. Does have a decent record on good and good-to-yielding ground (1 win from 6 and 1 win from 8), which today favours him, but age, experience, and minimal recent returns are substantial headwinds at 41.0 odds.

A 13-year-old returning after 307 days away—by far the longest absence in the field—but carries the best career win rate at 15% (4 wins from 27 races) and an exceptional partnership record with jockey G B Noonan at 40%. The real prize here is form unknown; he may be rusty, but if the partnership clicks again, the 51.0 odds could look generous. Lowest rated by 12 pounds and carries least weight, which counts for something on comeback.