Wearing hoodFresh (61 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 2.6 has the strongest recent form, winning just 10 days ago at Listowel and placing twice in her last four races, but today's race comes after a disappointing sixth-place finish at Roscommon 61 days ago—that's a worrying dip between a peak and this contest. Only four races deep in her career, she remains a relatively unproven proposition despite winning at roughly one in every four races.
A. O'Sullivan(5)
·
P. Nolan
· 4yo
· 10st 8lb
· OR 99
Form
26
Super Value
Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Rated 10 pounds above the average for this field and the most experienced runner here at 16 races, but that record tells a brutal story—zero wins from 16 attempts, though four places show she can be competitive. Her most recent race was a respectable third-place finish just 29 days ago, making her the best form horse on pure recent merit, but if she hasn't won in 16 tries, why expect it now?
Top rated by 10lbsMost experienced (16 runs, field avg 6)
A racecourse returner after 245 days away with just one career race to her name—that sole outing saw her finish eighth, giving almost nothing to suggest she can compete here. She carries the Henry De Bromhead name, which counts for plenty, but her complete lack of racing experience and time away is a substantial gamble on debut in a competitive field.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (1 career races)Absent 245 days (longest in field)
Making her racecourse debut, Sonas has decent breeding through Walk In The Park and Henry De Bromhead's training setup, which typically produces competent debuts. However, no track experience whatsoever means she's truly an unknown quantity and odds of 17.0 suggest the market has little confidence in her competing here against horses with proven form.
The best win rate in the field at one in every six races, and specifically sharp on normal ground like today's track conditions, but recent form is a major red flag—she's been beaten by 21.8 lengths as recently as 27 days ago at Sligo. This feels like a horse with decent ability that has simply lost form at the worst possible time.
Best record on this ground (2 from 7)Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Nine races, zero wins, and a 58-day absence before this, with only two places to show from her outings—she's a horse that consistently comes close without delivering. At 34.0 odds and facing this field, she's a clear outsider with limited reasons to believe today breaks the pattern.
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
One of only two horses in this field with a win to her name, Banner Beauty proved capable at a top venue when she won at Leopardstown earlier this year—but her recent form has been dire, with just one placing from her last six races and a 43-day gap since her most recent outing. At 11.0 odds, she's been heavily backed off the boards by punters, suggesting those in the know are steering clear of recent form.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Three career races, zero wins, and a shocking 15th-place finish most recently where she was beaten 114 lengths at Cork just 29 days ago—she's regressing sharply, not improving. Gordon Elliott trains her, which normally carries weight, but the form here is genuinely dire and odds of 21.0 suggest the market has given up.
Just one race to her name—a 13th-place finish at Bellewstown 35 days ago—so there's virtually no form to read, and asking her to step up in class here seems ambitious. Coming from the John C McConnell yard provides some reassurance, but this is essentially a debut in terms of competitive ability.
Running back-to-back days (raced at Wexford yesterday) is unusual and suggests her the yard believe there's something to work with, but four races without a win, with her last two efforts both earning seventh-place finishes, indicates she's nowhere near the required standard. The fact she ran here yesterday and is back again today hints at either desperation or confidence—nothing in her record supports the latter.
A debut runner with respectable pedigree through Poet's Word but no racecourse evidence and odds of 101.0 reflecting how little the market rates her chances. Both of the previous-less runners here are huge unknowns, making her one of the longest odds in the field for good reason.
Twelve races deep and still searching for a first win despite being rated second-highest in the field, Shakita is the definition of a horse that hasn't lived up to expectations—three places from 12 attempts is a meager return. Her recent form is particularly grim, with gaps between races and just one placing in her last six outings.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.