Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Fresh off a career-first win at Wexford just 16 days ago and odds of 3.4 suggest the market thinks momentum is real. He has an excellent record on normal ground (1 win from 3 starts) and has now shown he can win at this track—a significant advantage over rivals making their first Wexford attempt.
Wearing tongue strapFresh (90 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The weakest horse in the field by rating (13lbs below average) and carries the lowest weight because of it, but that's where the positives end. Winless from 10 races with only two placings to show for it, and a 10th-place finish 90 days ago suggests she's struggling to find competitive form when it matters most.
Lowest rated, 13lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
Fresh (72 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 2.63 and for good reason: he won at Limerick just 72 days ago and finished second by a nose at Punchestown before that, showing genuine form. He also carries one of the lowest weights in the field and has an excellent record on soft ground (1 win from 3 starts), though he'll need to adapt to normal conditions here.
Won at this course & distanceWon 2 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in the field with a proven winning record at this distance and course—a vital edge over rivals on unfamiliar terrain. She wins roughly 1 in 5 races and has been competitive even in defeat, finishing second by a whisker at Punchestown two months ago, though a recent eighth at Downpatrick suggests form may be wavering slightly.
Only winner at this distanceHas won over this course and distance
Winless from 12 races and still searching for that breakthrough victory despite three placed finishes. Recent form is poor—two sixth-place runs at Wexford and Limerick in his last three outings—and he's being backed at 13.0 despite having zero wins to his name, making him a clear outlier in a weak field.
The top-rated horse here by 5lbs, but odds of 9.5 suggest the market has serious doubts after a 182-day absence and a terrible recent run. He has the best win rate in the field at 1 in 5, yet that sole victory came six months ago—the worry is whether he's lost his way completely after finishing 10th and falling in his last two starts.
Top rated by 5lbsAbsent 182 days (longest in field)Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
The editorial tip despite being 9 years old with just one win from 28 races and terrible recent form (17th at Galway just 10 days ago). The numbers don't support the hype: he's a 4% winner, has never managed success on soft or good-to-yielding ground, and struggles on undulating tracks—all red flags for a horse being asked to overcome his terrible record.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.