R. Holohan(4)
·
P. A Fahy
· 8yo
· 9st 13lb
· OR 57
C&DHeadgear
24
Good Value
Won at this course & distanceWearing visorWon 2 of last 5Won here 2 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and last year's winner of this exact race, this horse has two wins from five races at Sligo — the only course winner in the field — and has won over this course and distance before. Raced just 11 days ago and finished third, so she arrives fit and in decent touch, which makes the editorial tip look well-founded.
Course specialist (2 wins from 5 here)Has won over this course and distanceMarket favourite (5.5)
A. Browne-Souza(7)
·
J. J Cullen
· 7yo
· 9st 3lb
· OR 47
FreshnessForm
22
Super Value
Fresh (111 days off)Won 1 of last 5Won here 3 timesLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The standout course specialist in this race — three wins from just five races at Sligo is a remarkable hit rate of 60%, and his most recent win came here less than seven months ago. He also has the best career win rate in the field on today's normal ground, winning 2 from 6 on those conditions. The drift to 8.5 is worth noting, but the Sligo record is simply too strong to ignore.
Course specialist (3 wins from 5 here)Best record on this ground (2 from 6)Best career win rate in field (1 in 8)
All six of this horse's career wins have come at Dundalk — and today is not Dundalk. Racing at Sligo on normal ground, Autocrat has zero wins from eight races on good conditions, which is a serious red flag. Add a worrying drift in the market from near-favourite to 9/1, and the form figures heading here read 0-0-4-1-7, which isn't exactly a horse arriving in peak order.
One of the more successful in the field (6 career wins)
S. Tormey(7)
·
T. G McCourt
· 5yo
· 9st 11lb
· OR 55
FormGround
12
Won 0 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
One win from 27 races is a tough record to look past, and the most recent outing was an 8th-place finish at Bellewstown, beaten nearly 29 lengths. The low draw in stall 2 is a disadvantage here — low stalls produce just 6% of winners at this course — and the horse has yet to win on normal ground in five attempts.
Wearing tongue strapWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
A 10-year-old who won at Dundalk five weeks ago and followed up with a third there shortly after, so there's genuine recent form to point to — making him second in the market at just under 6/1. The concern is that his record on normal ground reads zero wins from three races, while today's conditions are exactly that. He's better suited to a stamina test in softer conditions.
Fresh (188 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field — 11 pounds below the field average — and returning from nearly six months off, which makes this a difficult race on paper. She does carry the lightest weight, which is a small advantage in a flat handicap, and the jockey has found a winner recently. But zero wins from nine races on normal ground is a significant obstacle.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldJockey in best form (1 from 11 last 2wk)
D. O'Sullivan(4)
·
J. A Nash
· 7yo
· 9st 7lb
· OR 51
HeadgearForm
6.4
Wearing blinkersWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Both career wins have come on good ground, so today's normal conditions aren't a problem in principle. However, the draw in stall 1 is one of the worst in the field — the lowest stalls produce only 6% of winners here — and recent form reads 5th, unknown, 9th. Not much to get excited about.
Six career wins from 50 races makes this one of the more experienced horses in the field, but the recent form is poor — 8th, 10th, and 17th in the last three completed runs, all beaten well. Drawn in stall 16, which falls in the high-draw category where the win rate drops to just 4% at this track. Hard to back with confidence here.
One of the more successful in the field (6 career wins)
S. Wallace(7)
·
D. O'Sullivan
· 12yo
· 9st 4lb
· OR 48
HeadgearForm
1.6
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
At 12 years old, this is the oldest horse in the field and by some distance the most experienced, with 61 career races to its name. The problem is the recent form — 10th last time out, beaten over 63 lengths, and pulled up before that. The name is apt, but the road looks like it's getting longer rather than shorter.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Winless from 13 career races, though four place finishes suggest this horse is competitive without ever quite doing enough. The draw in stall 9 sits in the mid-range, which is the sweet spot at this track, but finishing 11th at Navan and having an unknown result last time out doesn't inspire confidence.
Twenty-two races without a single win is a sobering stat, and at eight years old, the window for a breakthrough is getting narrower. That said, a fourth-place finish at Down Royal just 21 days ago — beaten less than 5 lengths — is the most encouraging piece of recent form this horse has shown. Still a big ask in a 17-runner field.
Wearing tongue strapFresh (254 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Seven races, zero wins, and not a single top-four finish to show for it — the record is about as bare as it gets. This horse has also been absent for over eight months, and last time out at Sligo finished 26 lengths behind the leader. Hard to make a case here.
Absent 254 days (longest in field)Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Among the least experienced in this 17-runner field with just eight races under her belt, and yet to win any of them. The highest draw in the field — stall 17 — is also a problem here, where horses drawn above 12 win only 4% of races at this course and distance. A last-place finish at Navan 34 days ago, beaten 34 lengths, doesn't help her case.
Fresh (186 days off)Won 0 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
One win from 18 races, and the recent form figures read 8th, 6th, 9th, 10th, and 15th — a horse that has been going the wrong way for some time. Returning from six months off, which adds another layer of uncertainty. It's hard to find a reason to be optimistic here.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.