The most telling detail might be the partnership with Jupiter Du Gite, a horse Hogan has sent out four times without a win to show for it. Four runs together and nothing in the pot is the kind of record that tests patience on both sides of the fence, and it suggests the yard may still be searching for the right races and conditions to get the best out of that particular horse.
There is one genuine bright spot to hold onto. On wet, heavy ground, Hogan's runners come alive — winning 1 from just 3 races in those conditions works out to a 33% win rate, or roughly 1 in every 3. That is a dramatically different picture to the overall season, and it hints that when the ground turns soft, Hogan knows exactly how to place a horse. Whether that translates into a wider improvement as the year goes on remains to be seen, but it is the kind of edge a trainer can build on.
At four years in, Hogan is still learning the job. The dip this season is real, but a career is long, and trainers who can identify where their horses genuinely perform — as Hogan appears to on soft ground — tend to find their way back to better numbers.
| Course | Races | Wins | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Navan | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Roscommon | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Thurles | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Killarney | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Tramore | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Punchestown | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Gowran Park | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Naas | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Tipperary | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Down Royal | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Galway | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Limerick | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Cork | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Bellewstown | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Dundalk | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Ballinrobe | 1 | 0 | 0% |