Roscommon
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Connolly's RED MILLS Handicap
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Super Value
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and the editorial pick, this horse is still chasing a first career win from eight races — but the form has been improving steadily, finishing a close second at Leopardstown just eight days ago. The jockey-trainer partnership of Dylan Browne McMonagle and Joseph O'Brien is the most potent in the field by some distance, winning together nearly 1 in every 6 races from over 1,000 attempts. If improvement from that Leopardstown run arrives, this is the one to beat.
Market favourite (3.0)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the field — winning roughly 1 in every 3 races — and every single career run has ended in a top-four finish, which is a remarkable level of consistency. Shares top weight with Follow Me but comes into this on the back of two consecutive third-place finishes, so the form is solid if not sparkling. A leading contender, though today's normal ground is a step away from the wet conditions where this horse has been most dominant.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
TrackLab Insight
One win from 16 career races, with that sole victory now nearly 19 months ago, paints a clear picture of a horse that has struggled to recapture its best. The recent form of 7th, 12th, and 6th in the last three runs offers little encouragement, and a record of no wins from six races at left-handed tracks like Roscommon adds another red flag. Hard to make a case for.
Among the more experienced (16 career races)
TrackLab Insight
The most lightly raced horse in the field with just two career races, which makes her almost impossible to fully assess. What we do know is that she won last time out at Limerick and has never been beaten far in either outing — a 50% win rate that no rival here can match. The big unknown is whether a six-year-old with such a thin record can step up against more experienced rivals.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Twenty-three races without a single win — the only horse in the field alongside Electric Beauty with that level of experience, but unlike Electric Beauty, this horse has never broken through. Eight places show it can get close, but close has never been enough. Drawn in stall 12, which has the worst win rate at this course and distance, adds one more obstacle.
Winless from 23 career races
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field with 23 races under its belt — more than double the field average — and well suited to this trip, winning roughly 1 in 5 at distances around a mile to a mile and two. The concern is a glaring weakness on normal ground, with zero wins from eight races on similar conditions to today. That single statistic is hard to ignore.
Most experienced (23 runs, field avg 10)
TrackLab Insight
Six races, no wins, and a 14th-place finish last time out at Leopardstown make this one of the harder horses to back in the field. Rated 2lbs below the field average, she is among the lower-rated runners here and has never finished better than third in her career. There is very little in the data to suggest a turnaround is coming today.
Relatively inexperienced (6 career races)
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field, sitting 12lbs below average — a significant gap that is very difficult to overcome in a race like this. A win at Dundalk two months ago briefly suggested progress, but an 8th-place finish at Musselburgh since then and a record of no wins from four attempts on normal ground today point the wrong way. The blinkers are on to help, but the rating gap is the real problem.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below average
TrackLab Insight
Arrives here in decent form having won at Bellewstown recently, and three consecutive top-three finishes show a horse in good heart. However, today's trip of a mile and two is longer than the distances where this horse has won, and the record on normal ground reads zero wins from three attempts. The cheekpieces are fitted to sharpen focus, but the distance and ground are both questions.
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
Rated 9lbs above the field average, Follow Me looks well-handicapped on paper — yet the market has drifted this horse out to 19/1, which tells its own story. Recent form is poor, with a distant ninth last time out, and the jockey-trainer combination has yet to win together in four attempts. Hard to trust despite the rating advantage.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
TrackLab Insight
The youngest horse in the field at three years old and the lightest weight carrier, which is a small advantage, but four races without a win or a place finish makes this a very hard sell. Crucially, this horse has never raced on normal ground before, so today is a step into the unknown on a surface it has yet to encounter. Minimum expectations for now.
Carries lowest weight in field
Never raced on normal ground
TrackLab Insight
Just one career race to its name, a distant 12th at this very course only seven days ago — which means we know almost nothing about this horse and what little we do know is not encouraging. Running again after just a week, with a rating 9lbs below the field average, this is the least exposed runner in the race but for all the wrong reasons right now. One to learn about, not back.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Runs again after just 7 days
Your pick
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Odds
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Win (they finish 1st)
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How do odds work?
The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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