Wearing tongue strapWon 1 of last 5Loves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite, and the editorial verdict singles it out as a key contender — trained by Olly Murphy, who also saddles Atlantic City, and both horses are bidding to make it two wins from two in these conditions. Kado Sacree won at Carlisle just 40 days ago and has the best record in the field on slightly soft ground, winning 1 from 3 on similar conditions. The risk is that its record on genuinely soft ground is zero wins from three tries, so everything hinges on the ground not getting too testing.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)Market favourite (2.46)
M. James King(3)
·
O. Murphy
· 5yo
· 11st 10lb
· OR 110
FormTrack
18
Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Trained by the same yard as favourite Kado Sacree, Atlantic City won here at Perth just 22 days ago and arrives in career-best form with a win and a second from its last two races. The unknown is today's ground — it has never raced on slightly soft conditions before, so how it handles the wet is a genuine question mark. If it handles the ground, it's clearly a serious contender.
Won at this course & distanceWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in this field who has already won over this exact course and distance, which is a genuine advantage over most rivals. However, it fell at this very track three weeks ago, and its record on anything softer than normal ground reads zero wins from three attempts. The course form is compelling, but the question marks are real.
The lowest-rated horse in the field by 14 pounds below the average, and remarkably, it raced here at Perth just yesterday — running again after a single day's turnaround is almost unheard of and raises obvious questions about freshness. Its record on anything other than heavy ground is poor, and today's slightly soft conditions are likely to be too dry for it. Very hard to recommend.
Lowest rated, 14lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldRuns again after just 1 days
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Still looking for a first career win from seven races, and pulled up at this very track just three weeks ago. It has never raced on slightly soft ground, so today is another step into the unknown for a horse that is already the lowest-rated in the field alongside Getaway Master. There's a near-miss on the record — beaten less than a length at Newcastle recently — but the overall picture is of a horse still searching for the right conditions.
Fresh (195 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Returning from a six-month break and pulled up on its last start, Annie Agnew has not won a race in over two and a half years. Its record on good ground — which is the closest comparable to today's slightly soft conditions — reads zero wins from four attempts, making it hard to build a case. Limited data and poor recent form add up to a difficult profile here.
Fresh (93 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated in this field by some margin, but the weight advantage feels misleading given recent form — beaten 16, 33, and 34 lengths in its last three races. The real concern here is the ground: this horse has never won on wet or soft ground in four attempts, and today's slightly soft conditions are exactly what it struggles with. Hard to make a case for it despite the rating.
Fresh (205 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
An 11-year-old returning from a six-month break, which is always a concern, and its recent form before that break included a pulled-up at Kelso. It won on good-to-soft ground in its career, but has only raced seven times in total, making it one of the least proven horses in a small field. Needs to be taken on trust after a long time off.
Fresh (232 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won here 4 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a distance — 34 races compared to the field average of 13 — and a genuine Perth specialist with four wins from 16 races at this course, a record that stands out among these rivals. The problem is a 232-day absence, the longest layoff of any runner here, and its last three runs included a pulled-up and a distant fourth. Course form is the strongest in the field; fitness is the biggest unknown.
Most experienced (34 runs, field avg 13)Absent 232 days (longest in field)Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.