E. Tindall(5)
·
A. Brittain
· 8yo
· 9st 8lb
· OR 52
C&DHeadgear
21
Super Value
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Won here 6 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced runner here (96 races) and the only horse in the field with a Newcastle win at this distance—that's the standout fact. Won here just 14 days ago, thrives on standard-to-slow ground (3 wins from 7), and while modest overall (7% win rate), he's exactly where he needs to be on paper.
Has won over this course and distanceMost experienced (96 runs, field avg 32)
Top-rated on paper (OR 52) but worryingly winless from 10 races, with recent form scattered across fifth, fifth, and sixth places. A three-year-old still searching for breakthrough, and the form pattern suggests he hasn't found the answer yet.
Won at this course & distanceWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (25% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Has the best win rate in the field (1 in 8 races) and won here at Newcastle five months ago—that course record matters. On standard ground he's won 1 from 4, but the form has dipped since that March win with recent finishes of 6th, 5th, and 3rd, so momentum is questionable.
Has won over this course and distanceBest record on this ground (1 from 4)Best career win rate in field (1 in 8)
Winless from 12 races and drifting in the odds—this filly has shown glimpses of ability with two placed finishes, but consistency is the problem. Recent form is patchy (8th, 8th, 4th), and at 7.0 odds she looks overpriced for a horse that rarely gets close.
J. Nicholls(3)
·
J. O'Keeffe
· 3yo
· 9st 2lb
· OR 48
HeadgearForm
9.6
Good Value
Wearing blinkersWon 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Just broke through with a win at Carlisle 15 days ago after ten races without success—the timing is fresh, but form before that was disastrous (11th, 12th, 13th). A maiden winner at 5.4 odds, but the previous pattern suggests this may be a false dawn rather than the start of a run.
Won 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Nine-year-old veteran at the bottom of the weights (OR 45) with just 5 wins from 71 races and no win in nearly three years—he's a plodder. Recent form at Newcastle is a blank, and at 11.0 odds he's struggling to suggest a reason to back him.
Relatively inexperienced with only four career races and no wins to her name. Recent form shows mixed results (5th, 11th, 4th), and at 13.0 odds she's a rough outsider—data is thin and form is inconsistent.
Wearing visorQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated runner (OR 45) and carrying the least weight, but turning around after just 2 days from an 8th place finish—that's a punishing turnaround. Form is dire (three straight 8th places), and the 67.0 odds reflect a horse with no real chance here.
Carries lowest weight in fieldBest record at this trip (2 from 26)Runs again after just 2 days
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.