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Newcastle

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Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div I)
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Awaiting result
Speed race · horses carry weights to make it fair About 6 furlongs Standard all-weather surface Grassroots race 9 runners £3245 prize
Tapeta surface
TrackLab's Top Pick
J: E. Tindall(5) · T: A. Brittain
21
Strong chance
Super Value at 14/5
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
20+ Strong pick 12-19 Solid chance 6-11 In the mix Below 6 Outsider How scores work
E. Tindall(5) · A. Brittain · 8yo · 9st 8lb · OR 52
C&D Headgear
21
Super Value
Won at this course & distance Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5 Won here 6 times Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced runner here (96 races) and the only horse in the field with a Newcastle win at this distance—that's the standout fact. Won here just 14 days ago, thrives on standard-to-slow ground (3 wins from 7), and while modest overall (7% win rate), he's exactly where he needs to be on paper.
Has won over this course and distance Most experienced (96 runs, field avg 32)
C. Beasley · M. Dods · 3yo · 9st 6lb · OR 52
Headgear Form
18
Super Value
Wearing visor Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated on paper (OR 52) but worryingly winless from 10 races, with recent form scattered across fifth, fifth, and sixth places. A three-year-old still searching for breakthrough, and the form pattern suggests he hasn't found the answer yet.
2nd highest rated (OR 52)
A. Mullen · B. Haslam · 3yo · 9st 4lb · OR 50
C&D Form
13
Good Value
Won at this course & distance Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time Loves this ground (25% win rate) Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Has the best win rate in the field (1 in 8 races) and won here at Newcastle five months ago—that course record matters. On standard ground he's won 1 from 4, but the form has dipped since that March win with recent finishes of 6th, 5th, and 3rd, so momentum is questionable.
Has won over this course and distance Best record on this ground (1 from 4) Best career win rate in field (1 in 8)
P. Mulrennan · B. Smart · 4yo · 9st 9lb · OR 53
Headgear Form
11
Good Value
Wearing hood Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Winless from 12 races and drifting in the odds—this filly has shown glimpses of ability with two placed finishes, but consistency is the problem. Recent form is patchy (8th, 8th, 4th), and at 7.0 odds she looks overpriced for a horse that rarely gets close.
Winless from 12 career races
J. Nicholls(3) · J. O'Keeffe · 3yo · 9st 2lb · OR 48
Headgear Form
9.6
Good Value
Wearing blinkers Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Just broke through with a win at Carlisle 15 days ago after ten races without success—the timing is fresh, but form before that was disastrous (11th, 12th, 13th). A maiden winner at 5.4 odds, but the previous pattern suggests this may be a false dawn rather than the start of a run.
3 straight top-3 finishes
W. Pyle · R. Carr · 9yo · 9st 1lb · OR 45
Form Track
9.5
Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Has won on this ground Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Nine-year-old veteran at the bottom of the weights (OR 45) with just 5 wins from 71 races and no win in nearly three years—he's a plodder. Recent form at Newcastle is a blank, and at 11.0 odds he's struggling to suggest a reason to back him.
Lowest rated, 4lbs below average
T. Kiely-Marshall(5) · R. Menzies · 3yo · 9st 4lb · OR 50
Form
2.2
Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Relatively inexperienced with only four career races and no wins to her name. Recent form shows mixed results (5th, 11th, 4th), and at 13.0 odds she's a rough outsider—data is thin and form is inconsistent.
Relatively inexperienced (4 career races)
G. McEntee · P. McEntee · 6yo · 9st 1lb · OR 45
Headgear Freshness
0.7
Wearing visor Quick turnaround Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated runner (OR 45) and carrying the least weight, but turning around after just 2 days from an 8th place finish—that's a punishing turnaround. Form is dire (three straight 8th places), and the 67.0 odds reflect a horse with no real chance here.
Carries lowest weight in field Best record at this trip (2 from 26) Runs again after just 2 days
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