Won 2 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The form of this eight-year-old has turned sharply upward: 2 wins and 2 seconds in his last 6 races, and he boasts the best career win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 8. His record on standard and good ground (18% and 33% respectively) makes him tailor-made for today's normal conditions, though the 9th place finish at Newcastle just 6 days ago is a concern.
Best record on this ground (3 from 9)Best career win rate in field (1 in 8)
Trainer Quotes
Sep 2025
"He won at Hexham last month and seems to be a better horse over hurdles than on the Flat. He's gone up 5lb, which is all right, and has come out of the race well. There's a race at the first Kelso meeting that could be ideal. 10-09-25"
Just 1 win from 15 races tells you this four-year-old is no dominant force, but he finished 2nd at Pontefract only 24 days ago and has placed in 8 of his 15 races. The problem: he has no wins on standard ground (0 from 4 starts) and none on soft either, leaving limited room to manoeuvre at Musselburgh.
Falaise Blanc has finished 2nd twice in his last three races (at Musselburgh and Hamilton 31 and 36 days ago) and shows real form at standard ground with 1 win from 8 starts. However, he has yet to win at Musselburgh in 5 attempts despite being placed twice, and the high draw (10) puts him at a structural disadvantage.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Trainer Quotes
Jul 2025
"We've had him for a year. He's shown bits of promise here and there and his last run was quite good when third behind our own Straya. I don't think he's any kind of worldbeater but he might go up in trip and improve for that. He ran well over 1m2f at Ayr last week, and I think I'd like to step him up to 1m4f, but he's only three and so there's not a lot of opportunities to do that at the moment. We'll just to have to sit tight and wait, especially if we don't want to be travelling hours and hours down the road. He'll probably be out again when we get a bit of rain. 17-07-25"
Winless after 10 races and coming off a 6th place finish at Ayr 26 days ago, Mr Withington is the editorial pick but the form figures don't support the hype. Zero wins combined with a middling recent run make this a tough call in a field where Gemini Man and Sophiesticate have both won at Musselburgh recently.
S. Farmer(5)
·
R. Mike Smith
· 7yo
· 9st 7lb
· OR 51
FormTrack
11
Won 0 of last 5Won here 3 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
This is the standout course specialist: 3 wins from 6 races at Musselburgh, and she has just rattled off 3 straight 3rd place finishes, including two at this track in the past month. At 50 career races, she is the most experienced horse in the field and her 21% win rate on good ground gives her genuine claims on today's conditions.
Course specialist (3 wins from 6 here)Most experienced (50 runs, field avg 27)3 straight top-3 finishes
Trainer Quotes
Sep 2022
"She's a progressive filly who has won over 1m2f and 1m4f this season and is still on the upgrade. She's out of a Galileo mare from a very good family, of which the granny was the best. She's up to a mark of 71 and I expect more progress. 12-09-22"
Wearing tongue strapFresh (81 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Eighteen races, zero wins, zero places—this five-year-old has never finished in the top three and was pulled up 81 days ago, making his absence from the track a red flag. The lowest weight in the field (127lbs) cannot offset the fundamental lack of ability shown across his career.
Wearing blinkersWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
This seven-year-old is among the field's more reliable performers with 4 wins from 42 races (roughly 1 in 10), and he was competitive just 14 days ago with a 3rd place finish at Pontefract. His 15% win rate over 1m6f–2m distances suits the mile-and-five setup, but the high draw (9) in a field that favours low draw numbers may count against him.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
Fresh (71 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
At 10 years old with 42 races under her belt and not a single win, Star Of Markinch has never won at Musselburgh despite 18 attempts and has been away for 71 days. She is the lowest-rated runner in the field by some margin and the recent form (four 4th place finishes) hints at a horse that is finally running out of races.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Eight years old with just 1 win from 25 races (a 4% win rate), Ivynator represents the longest of long-shots, and his last outing 35 days ago saw him beaten 16.2 lengths at Newcastle. The editorial mentions him as a live each-way threat, but the form book suggests he is running on fumes.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.