Market Rasen
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Lucas Machinery Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
The biggest unknown in the race — this horse hasn't been seen on a racecourse for 538 days, the longest absence in the field by some distance, and has never won in 13 career races. Returning from nearly a year and a half off with no winning form to fall back on makes this an extremely tough ask.
Carries lowest weight in field
Absent 538 days (longest in field)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite, and the form behind that price is understandable — he won at Stratford 41 days ago and was second twice before that. The concern is that he unseated his rider last time out at Plumpton, and his record on normal conditions reads zero wins from five attempts, which sits awkwardly given today's standard ground.
Market favourite (4.7)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Second in the market despite never having won a race in eight attempts — the attraction here is clearly the Harry and Dan Skelton team, who together win roughly one in five races they target. The form itself is deeply unconvincing though, with an eighth, a pulled-up, and a ninth in the last three runs.
2nd in the market (5.9)
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced winner in the field with four career victories, but that record comes with a major catch: he has never won on normal conditions, going winless in 10 attempts on good ground. His best form has come on faster or softer surfaces, so today's standard ground is a real question mark despite him being the field's best win rate horse.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 9)
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2025
"He's another legend who loves his work; the more you give him the better. His winning form coincided with fitting a tongue-strap, but also figuring out you have to ride him cold. When he's been ridden a bit closer to the pace, he doesn't necessarily finish. He's risen 20lb in the handicap this year but was unlucky three runs ago at Catterick, where he bumped into an improving three-year-old. 29-10-25"
TrackLab Insight
A four-year-old with zero wins from five races and 68 days off the track, so there are more questions than answers here. He has raced at Market Rasen before and the booking of Sean Bowen is an eye-catcher, though Bowen has only managed one win from his last 12 rides so even that angle is lukewarm right now.
Jockey in best form (1 from 12 last 2wk)
TrackLab Insight
This horse knows Market Rasen well, finishing second and third here in his last two visits before a poor run at Perth most recently. The problem is a career record of just one win from 29 races, and that win came on softer ground — he has never won on normal conditions in six attempts, which is exactly what he faces today.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
The editorial verdict picks this horse narrowly on top, and the reasoning is straightforward: this is the course and distance where he posted his best ever hurdles effort. The worry is that his only career win came on standard ground at Southwell, yet his record on good ground — like today — reads zero wins from 10 attempts, and he has struggled badly on left-handed sharp tracks like Market Rasen.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
Thirty-three races into her career with just one win, and that came back in September 2023 — she hasn't troubled the judge in the 30 months since. She has never won on a left-handed galloping track in 13 attempts, and Market Rasen fits that exact profile, making it very hard to find a reason to back her here.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in the field with just seven races under his belt and still waiting for that first win. Recent form shows finishes of sixth, fifth and fifth, beaten a long way each time, and the jockey-trainer partnership here has never won together in 17 attempts — hard to make a case for him.
Relatively inexperienced (7 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Two wins from 32 races tells you this horse operates at the lower end of the game, and recent form is grim — she pulled up at this very course 33 days ago and finished seventh in both races before that. She has never won on good ground in 11 attempts, and Market Rasen is a left-handed sharp track where she is winless in nine tries.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field, rated 9lbs below the field average, and the record backs that up — zero wins from 28 races and a fall here at Market Rasen last time out. With blinkers fitted and the same course where he came down 33 days ago, there is very little in the data to suggest a different outcome today.
Lowest rated, 9lbs below average
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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