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Allibaba

Allibaba is an 8-year-old who has taken a little while to find his stride, but he is finishing this May in the kind of form that makes people pay attention. Across 15 races he has won twice and placed five more times — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 8 races — but that modest overall record masks a horse who has suddenly clicked into gear. He won at Market Rasen on 8th May, then followed it up with another win at Warwick just days later. Two wins from his last six races is a completely different animal to the one who had managed just none from the nine before that.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Alhebayeb
Mother
Contenance
Owner
Grant Nicholson
Rating
83

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
15
Career races
2
Wins
13.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
33.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The training operation behind him is Adrian Paul Keatley, based at Ryedale in North Yorkshire, and the yard is having a productive season with 40 winners already on the board. That context matters — when a yard is firing, horses in good form tend to stay in good form, and Allibaba looks like he is benefiting from a stable operating with confidence.

One detail worth noting is that Allibaba does his best racing on normal ground. He has won 2 of his 7 races in those conditions — that is nearly 1 in every 3, which for a horse with his overall record is a striking turnaround. On other ground, he has nothing to show for his efforts. So when the track is riding well and the conditions are fair, he becomes a genuinely different proposition.

There is one small puzzle in his profile. His regular partner in the saddle, Thomas Dowson, has ridden him five times without a winner between them. Yet both of Allibaba's career wins have come — presumably with someone else in the irons — suggesting the horse has found his best self through a change somewhere. He has also spent most of his career competing in Class 5 races, the lower end of the scale, where he has strangely managed zero wins from six attempts. His victories have come when he has stepped slightly outside that comfort zone, which is the kind of quirk that keeps racing interesting.

At 8 years old, horses are not usually getting sharper — but Allibaba, racing just yesterday and with back-to-back wins this month, seems to be very much the exception right now.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 7 starts (29%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Avoids
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
20 May
🏆 Won
Warwick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
8 May
🏆 Won
Market Rasen
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners
16 Nov
7th
Uttoxeter
1m6f – 2m · Good · 7 runners
18 Oct
12th
Uttoxeter
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
11 Nov
3rd
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
8 Oct
5th
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
20 Sep
5th
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
7 Sep
DNF
Southwell
1m6f – 2m · Good · 9 runners
21 Aug
DNF
Bangor-on-Dee
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
16 Feb
8th
Newcastle
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Thomas Dowson
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Kelso
Undulating
3 1 third, 2 other 11 Nov 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
2 2 other 16 Nov 0%
Galway
Tight
2 1 second, 1 third 29 Oct 0%
Market Rasen
Sharp
1 1 win 8 May 100%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 win 20 May 100%
Thurles
Undulating
1 1 other 1 Dec 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 12 Jan 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Sep 0%
Bangor-on-Dee
Sharp
1 1 other 21 Aug 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 other 27 Dec 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Feb 0%