Lingfield
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Polytrack surface
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Super Value
TrackLab Insight
The market has made this the favourite despite just two career races and no wins — punters are clearly buying into potential rather than proven form. It finished fourth on its most recent outing, just a length behind the winner at Kempton, but backing a horse with almost no track record at odds of 2.96 requires a leap of faith.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Market favourite (2.96)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Rated 4lbs above the field average, Metallo looks the class act on paper, but the evidence says otherwise — just 1 win from 18 races and zero wins from 5 attempts at Lingfield. The market has cooled sharply on this one, drifting out to 6.5, and those odds feel honest given a record that has consistently promised more than it delivers.
2nd in the market (6.5)
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2024
"He's a very nice three-year-old who had a setback in the spring and has been gelded since his last start. He showed a good level of form as a two-year-old, beating Dancing Gemini at Salisbury on his second start. He'll be racing this winter on the all-weather. 10-10-24"
TrackLab Insight
An encouraging second at Bath just 13 days ago shows this six-year-old is in decent nick right now, and trainer Richard Hannon has hit 2 winners from 11 runners in the last two weeks. The concern is a high draw in stall 10 — historically the worst part of the track at this course and distance — which adds a layer of difficulty this horse doesn't need.
Trainer in best form (2 from 11 last 2wk)
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner in the field and it is not even close — four wins from nine races at Lingfield, including a win here just 12 days ago over this exact course and distance. Yes, it carries the lowest weight and is rated 9lbs below the field average, but horses this tuned in to one specific track are exactly the kind of angle that wins races.
Lowest rated, 9lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Only course winner (4 from 9 here)
Has won over this course and distance
TrackLab Insight
The standout on paper — the best career win rate in the field (roughly 1 in every 4 races), three straight top-three finishes, and the best record of any runner on normal ground with 4 wins from 13 races on this surface. Tom Marquand has ridden 3 winners in the last two weeks and is the most in-form jockey in the race, making this the most compelling overall package here.
Best record on this ground (4 from 13)
3 straight top-3 finishes
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Jockey in best form (3 from 12 last 2wk)
TrackLab Insight
Three finishes in the top three in a row is the standout run of form in this race, and Frostmagic's record on normal ground — wins in 2 from 7 races — is the best of any horse here on this surface. A 5-pound claiming jockey takes the ride, but the consistent recent form gives this a solid claim at 8.5.
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
The second-highest rated horse in the field, but Zoffandia's best form has come at Kempton, not here at Lingfield, and a 11-length beating last time out is hard to forgive. The visor and tongue strap suggest the yard are trying things to unlock more, but the form doesn't inspire confidence at 17.5.
2nd highest rated (OR 79)
TrackLab Insight
By far the most experienced horse in the field with 58 career races — more than double the field average of 23 — but recent form is deeply uninspiring with three consecutive mid-field finishes at Dundalk. Rated 5lbs below the field average and with no wins on good or normal ground to speak of, it is very hard to make a case here.
Most experienced (58 runs, field avg 23)
TrackLab Insight
The most interesting angle here is that Special Ghaiyyath has the best record in the field at this exact trip, winning 2 of its 6 races over a mile. However, it has never won on normal ground in 5 attempts, which is a real concern on today's surface, and a 6.8-length defeat last time out doesn't help its case.
Best record at this trip (2 from 6)
TrackLab Insight
This is a horse stepping onto normal ground for the first time in its career — it has never raced on this type of surface before, which is a significant unknown. A 19-length thumping at Newbury last time and just 1 win from 17 career races make this a very hard sell at any price.
Never raced on normal ground
Your pick
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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