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Metallo

There is a horse in John Butler's Newmarket yard that has been searching for its second win for nearly three years. Metallo, a five-year-old with one career victory to its name, has raced 19 times and found the winner's enclosure just once — a 5% win rate, or roughly 1 win in every 20 races. That sole success came at Salisbury in June 2023, and every race since has ended without a first-place finish.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Caravaggio
Mother
Sweet Dreams Baby
Owner
Recycled Products Limited
Rating
80

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
19
Career races
1
Wins
5.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
26.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes the story more interesting is what happened in between. Butler noted on a stable tour back in October 2024 that Metallo had suffered a setback in the spring of that year, had been gelded, and was being pointed towards all-weather racing over the winter. The trainer spoke warmly of the horse's earlier promise — specifically that Salisbury win, which came against a rival called Dancing Gemini and suggested a horse with genuine ability. That context matters: this isn't a horse that stumbled into a win by accident. It showed something real, then life got in the way.

Since returning to action, Metallo has been a model of consistency without quite delivering the result. Its last six runs read 4th, 4th, 6th, 4th, 11th — placed or thereabouts more often than not, but the winning post keeps arriving a few lengths too soon. Jockey Rossa Ryan has partnered the horse five times without a win between them, though that reflects the horse's broader pattern rather than any particular partnership problem. The sweet spot in terms of distance appears to be seven furlongs to a mile, where Metallo has won 1 from 4 races — that 25% win rate is by far its best at any trip, and a meaningful contrast to its overall record.

Butler's yard has had a productive season, sending out 34 winners, so this isn't a struggling operation. Metallo is simply a horse that has taken its time to fulfil its earlier promise — and at five, with a gelding operation behind it and a trainer who clearly believes in its ability, there may still be a chapter left to write. It raced just yesterday, which means this particular story is very much still going.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 25% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 11 starts
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Yet to win at Lingfield Park in 6 attempts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts
Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 May
4th
Lingfield Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 10 runners
27 Apr
4th
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 8 runners
3 Apr
6th
Lingfield Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 14 runners
27 Mar
4th
Lingfield Park
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners
20 Mar
11th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 12 runners
27 Feb
DNF
Lingfield Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 14 runners
10 Feb
2nd
Lingfield Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 12 runners
4 Jun
4th
Nottingham
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 6 runners
3 May
7th
Newmarket
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 13 runners
12 Apr
9th
Newbury
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 16 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
Luke Morris Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Lingfield Park
Sharp
6 1 second, 5 other 12 May 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 16 Aug 50%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 2 other 3 May 0%
Newbury
Galloping
2 2 other 12 Apr 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 20 Mar 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 second 17 Jan 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 third 18 Dec 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Jun 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Nov 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 13 Mar 0%