Wearing hoodWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The editorial team's selection, and easy to see why — this horse has won on standard artificial surfaces, is suited to today's distance, and arrives with back-to-back placed efforts including a win at Southwell just over three weeks ago. It carries the second-lowest weight in the field, 4lbs below the average rating, which gives it a handy edge in a handicap. The hood worn last time, when winning, is on again today.
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 2 of last 5Won here 2 timesWon at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite has a compelling case: the best career win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 4, has won over this exact course and distance, and boasts a remarkable record at this trip — winning 3 from just 5 races over a mile and a half. Back-to-back wins at Lingfield coming into this race makes her the clear form pick, and the draw in stall 8 is the only mild concern given the low-draw bias at this track.
Has won over this course and distanceBest record at this trip (3 from 5)Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)Market favourite (3.3)
Wearing hoodWon 1 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Second in the market at 5.1 but with only six career races under its belt, this is one of the least experienced horses in the field. It is wearing a hood for the first time today, which can sometimes sharpen a horse's focus, but there's no previous Lingfield form to work with. The form figures show consistent mid-pack finishes without threatening — its sole win came at a lower level at Catterick last October.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a wide margin — 33 races compared to a field average of 15 — and carries the highest rating, sitting 6lbs clear of the average. However, those last two runs were dire (11th and 12th), and despite being the top-rated runner, the market has drifted far away from him. His best form has come at Chelmsford rather than Lingfield, which is a concern here.
Most experienced (33 runs, field avg 15)3 straight top-3 finishesUnfancied in the market despite a high rating
Trainer Quotes
Sep 2024
"He's been one of our big success stories over the last 12 months. We bought him when he was rated 74 and he won four of his first five starts for us and went up to a career-high mark of 100 by the end of the all-weather season. It took him a while to get into gear on the turf but he ran his best race yet on the grass at Doncaster this month. That showed us he can compete in good races on the turf as well. He's going to go for the Cambridgeshire on Saturday. He's in good form and hasn't had a busy summer and it's brilliant prize-money and a fantastic race to have a runner in. It's a bit of a free hit. Away from that, he'll be working back from the Easter Classic, in which he was second last season. We'll be looking at some of the better all-weather prizes that will get him qualified for finals day. Hopefully he can go one better this time. 26-09-24"
The lowest-rated horse in the field — a full 10lbs below the average — and carries the lightest weight, which is the built-in advantage that keeps unexposed horses like this interesting in handicaps. Three straight top-three finishes including a win at Southwell 14 days ago gives this horse the freshest winning form in the race. The concern is that big weight advantage may not be enough to bridge the gap against higher-rated rivals.
"We bought him knowing he wasn't going to be a sharp two-year-old and we looked after him a bit last year. He's going to be a nice horse when he goes handicapping over a mile and a quarter. 22-04-25"
Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The standout fact here is that this horse has a better record on today's normal surface conditions than any other runner in the field — winning 1 from 4 on this type of track. It won at Lingfield just 48 days ago, though that was at a shorter trip and recent runs since have been flat. The 3-pound claiming jockey is a slight unknown quantity with only one race together as a combination.
Jockey in form (2 wins in 14 days)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Two of this horse's three career wins came at the very top level of British racing, which is remarkable for a horse with a modest overall record — but there's a catch: it has never won on the normal surface conditions we have today, going 0 from 9 on artificial tracks under standard conditions. Running in fine form with two near-misses in the last fortnight, but this surface looks like its kryptonite.
Won at this course & distanceWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The key selling point here is that this horse has already won over this exact course and distance, making it one of only two proven winners at Lingfield over a mile and a half in the field. That said, recent form has been poor — beaten over 26 lengths at Kempton last month — so that course win looks increasingly distant. The trainer is in decent nick at the moment, winning 2 from 11 in the last two weeks.
Has won over this course and distanceTrainer in best form (2 from 11 last 2wk)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.