Leopardstown
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Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Irish EBF Fillies Maiden
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
The clear favourite at 1.73 after two narrow second-place finishes—beaten just 0.2L at Goodwood 21 days ago and 0.8L at Leopardstown 35 days ago. This is the only horse in the field with proven ability at this level, though a run under her belt in just 21 days means freshness could be an issue.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Market favourite (1.73)
TrackLab Insight
Debut runner by Churchill (an Irish and English 2,000 Guineas winner and top sire) out of an Elusive Quality mare—the standout pedigree in the field. Trained by O'Brien with jockey Gavin Ryan, and the market has priced her at 10.5, the joint-favourite, which suggests serious belief.
Racecourse debut
TrackLab Insight
Debut runner by Wootton Bassett with decent bloodlines, but the jockey-trainer pairing (Joseph Patrick O'Brien and Shane Foley) has no wins from 6 previous races—a red flag for a trainer-jockey combination in a competitive field.
Racecourse debut
TrackLab Insight
Debut runner with the strongest pedigree credentials: by Kingman (a Group 1 winner and top-class sire) out of a Dansili mare. The trainer D K Weld has an excellent record with his jockey Chris Hayes—103 wins together—though this is still unproven form.
Racecourse debut
TrackLab Insight
Debut runner by Kingman out of a Champs Elysees mare—excellent speed pedigree on both sides. Joseph Patrick O'Brien's record with jockey Declan McDonogh is exceptional (100 wins from 927 races), and the market price of 12.0 suggests strong confidence in this one.
Racecourse debut
TrackLab Insight
Only one race under her belt, finishing sixth at Curragh, and crucially has never raced on dry ground before—this is untested territory. The O'Brien yard is a strong one, but a single poor run on a different surface makes her hard to back here.
Never raced on dry ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Finished eighth on her debut 28 days ago at Leopardstown, but crucially has never raced on dry ground—this is her first try on a fast surface. The form is modest, and the ground change adds uncertainty rather than confidence.
Never raced on dry ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Racecourse debut for a Night Of Thunder filly—a sire who reliably produces speedy horses—out of a tough Kodiac mare. Jockey Ben Coen has an outstanding record with trainer J P Murtagh (156 wins together), and the low draw at 2 is a genuine asset in this race.
Racecourse debut
TrackLab Insight
Racecourse debut for a No Nay Never filly, a sire known for early speed—exactly what you want in a 7-furlong sprint. The jockey-trainer pairing has a solid record together, but this is a complete unknown in a field where most rivals are also debuts or lightly raced.
Racecourse debut
TrackLab Insight
Two runs without a place—seventh at Curragh 11 days ago (beaten 10.5L) and fifth at Leopardstown 42 days ago. The jockey and trainer have no previous record together, and the form trend is downward rather than improving, making her hard to recommend.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Another debut runner, but carrying the pedigree of Wootton Bassett and a Siyouni mare—top-tier bloodlines built for fast racing. The jockey-trainer combo has no record together, making this harder to assess than the headline breeding suggests.
Racecourse debut
TrackLab Insight
Debut runner by Camelot (a Group 1 winner) out of a Night Of Thunder mare—excellent bloodlines on both sides. However, this is the first time the jockey and trainer have worked together, removing a potential edge from the Camelot pedigree.
Racecourse debut
TrackLab Insight
Debut runner by Blackbeard out of a Montjeu mare, both capable sires but not the standout names in this field. Drawn wide at 15, which is a genuine disadvantage here where low draws show an 11% win rate versus 7% from mid and high draws.
Racecourse debut
TrackLab Insight
Finished eighth on debut just 11 days ago at Curragh—recent racing experience is valuable, but the result was weak. From a small County Kildare yard with minimal winners, this looks one of the weakest debut runners in terms of the yard.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Worst form in the field: 16th at Naas 29 days ago, then 7th at Chepstow just 11 days ago. The trainer has only 1 win from 24 races, and at 126.0 odds, the market has essentially given up on this horse.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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