Ben Hur is the market favourite at 4.5 odds and shows promise over longer distances with a 25% win rate at two miles-plus, matching today's 1m 5f trip. However, like several rivals, he has never raced on dry ground, and a recent fifth at Leopardstown 237 days ago—his only run at this track—offers little confidence.
Fresh (69 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Lauderdale King is the lowest-rated runner in the field (12lbs below average) and is still chasing his maiden win from five races with just one place to his name. Adding to the concern: he has never raced on dry ground, and a 69-day absence before a 4th place at Gowran Park means he arrives with very little current form.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldNever raced on dry ground
Darius Dark boasts the best win rate in the field at 43% (3 wins from 7 races) and has a previous win at Leopardstown just 102 days ago, making him the only proven course winner here. But his most recent run was a 12th place at Galway 24 days ago, suggesting form is sliding just when he needs it most.
3 straight top-3 finishesBest career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Cooley's Mist is a course winner, having won at Leopardstown just 35 days ago over the 1m 5f trip, and boasts a 25% win rate on good ground—exactly the conditions today. However, a shocking 16th place at Galway 20 days ago after that victory raises serious questions about consistency and whether that Leopardstown win was a flash rather than a genuine hot streak.
Pavilion End has never raced on dry ground in 19 career starts and arrives with just one win to his name, though his recent form shows three straight top-three finishes including a runner-up effort by a whisker at Fairyhouse. The risk is real: he holds a zero win record from six attempts on good ground, suggesting today's conditions could catch him out.
Never raced on dry ground3 straight top-3 finishes
Wearing cheekpiecesQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Sea Coral is the editorial selection and has genuine form on good ground, winning 1 in 4 runs on fast surfaces—exactly what today offers. She's picked up consecutive thirds from her last two completed races and is clearly improving after a long injury recovery, though her one career win came back in July 2025 and she remains a maiden winner looking to build on that success.
W. Joyce(3)
·
W. McCreery
· 6yo
· 8st 13lb
· OR 65
HeadgearForm
6.4
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Party Dress is a 6-year-old with three career wins and a solid 20% win rate on good ground, which suits today. However, she's posted three consecutive poor runs—a 5th, 4th, and 6th from her last three races—and carries a weight of previous failures at Leopardstown (0 wins from visits here), suggesting she's unlikely to break that duck now.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
Gaelic Drills is the least experienced runner in the field with only five career races and zero wins to date, making him a completely uncertain quantity. His recent 5th and 9th place finishes suggest he is learning his trade but nowhere near the competitive level required to trouble this field.
Celtic Druid has picked up two wins in his last six runs and shows a strong 33% win rate on standard ground—exactly what today offers. A narrow second at Dundalk just 39 days ago suggests he is competitive enough to trouble the principals, though at 5-1 odds he may offer value compared to the shorter-priced favourites.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
Satono Chevalier sits at the top of the ratings but faces a critical problem: he has never run on dry ground in 36 races, making today's fast surface completely unknown territory. His recent form shows three wins in the last six races, but that 12th place at Galway just 20 days ago suggests the current patch may be cooling, and the jockey-trainer pairing has no wins together from three attempts.
Never raced on dry groundMost experienced (36 runs, field avg 16)3 straight top-3 finishesUnfancied in the market despite a high rating
J. Cleary(5)
·
M. K Flannery
· 7yo
· 9st 12lb
· OR 78
FreshnessForm
1.6
Fresh (132 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Ehteyat is 132 days away from the track—the longest absence in the field—and comes into today completely cold. His record on dry ground is stark: zero wins from six attempts, which makes this quick ground a serious concern despite his proven form on softer or standard surfaces.
Harry's Legacy is an 8-year-old trier who won both his races back in summer 2022 and has gone nearly two years without another victory despite 26 career starts. Like several in this field, he has never raced on dry ground, and a 19th place at Galway just 22 days ago is a stark warning sign.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.