Kempton

A four-year-old filly who has been absent for 123 days — by far the longest absence in the field — and returns from a poor 12th-place finish at Newbury. With just four races under her belt and only one win, there's limited information to work with, and the lengthy lay-off combined with recent poor form makes her a difficult case to support at 17.0 odds.

One of only two horses here with actual Kempton course form, Port Road has won twice at this track and carries one of the lowest weights in the race. His form has been moderate lately (4th at Lingfield 11 days ago, then a disastrous 12th at Ascot), but the course knowledge and lighter burden could help him exploit a field that includes several horses with little or no experience here.

The lowest-rated horse here at 9lbs below the field average, but don't dismiss him — he wins roughly one race in four (23%) and actually has the best record in this field on slow ground (3 wins from 11 runs) and at this exact distance (6 wins from 13 runs). The weakness is that he's poor on standard ground, and his recent form has been thin (5th, 8th, 11th in his last three runs), though the lighter weight could work in his favour.

A four-year-old who won once here back in March but has struggled badly since, going winless over his last six races despite picking up three third-place finishes. At odds of 120.0 and carrying a poor recent record (10th, then 18th), he looks significantly out of form and well down the market for good reason.