Hamilton
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Hampton By Hilton Hotel Handicap Stakes
Starts in
2h 54min
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and the only horse with a proven course record—12 wins from 37 Hamilton races (32%) puts her in a league of her own here. But she's in a slump with three straight defeats at this track in the last month, and her record on soft/heavy ground is alarming (1 win from 20 starts combined), making today's conditions a real test of her usually reliable form.
Course specialist (12 wins from 37 here)
Has won over this course and distance
Most experienced (75 runs, field avg 32)
Market favourite (5.4)
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TrackLab Insight
Mid-market option with a 9% win rate across 22 races and a rare positive: he's one of the few runners with matching records on both soft ground (1 win from 5) and good-to-firm ground (1 win from 5). However, he's struggled on good ground (0 wins from 6) and finished second just three weeks ago at Carlisle, so he's clearly capable but hasn't won in some time.
Mid-range in the market (9.2)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2024
"He's done really well and could be another for the Macmillan race at York. He's done all his racing on soft or heavy, because there was nothing else around, but I think he'll be better on good ground. 23-04-24"
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TrackLab Insight
At 9 years old, this is a genuine course and distance winner with 3 wins from 17 Hamilton starts and an excellent 25% win rate on soft ground (5 wins from 20). He's also won on heavy ground (2 from 4, 50%), making him tailor-made for today—but he's finishing poorly (8th, 10th, 6th in last three) and struggles badly on anything faster than soft, so recent form is a worry.
Has won over this course and distance
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Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Won at Ayr just ten days ago (1st from last visible race) and has a respectable 14% career win rate across 49 races. However, she's a serious soft-ground risk with 0 wins from 4 starts on wet ground, and her record on sharp right-handed tracks is poor (0 wins from 5), which matters little at galloping Hamilton but suggests ground conditions are key to her.
One of the more successful in the field (7 career wins)
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TrackLab Insight
Steady performer with a 15% career win rate across 27 races, showing consistency rather than brilliance. Recent form is patchy (5th, 6th, 4th in last three), and he struggles on good ground (0 wins from 5), which matters little today but suggests this is a horse that needs soft conditions to compete.
Among the fancied runners (8.2)
Trainer Quotes
Jul 2025
"He's consistent and has been running well this season. He finished in the places in his first three starts after a short break and then got his head back in front at Doncaster last Saturday. It was soft ground - we were unsure about that but you've got to give these things a go and he reacted really well to it. That's good to know and we were really pleased with him; he showed a good attitude. He's just a fun horse to have around. He tries hard and I'm sure he can win again. 23-07-25"
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TrackLab Insight
Winless from 16 races despite five placings, including a narrow second just 14 days ago at Carlisle. The low draw (2) is helpful on this track, but he's never raced on wet ground—a significant unknown for a horse trying to break through for a first win.
Never raced on wet ground
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TrackLab Insight
One of the few with multiple course wins (2 at Hamilton) and a 7% career win rate, but recent form is weak (5th-5th-7th in last three). He's struggled on standard and good ground and never won at Ayr despite 9 attempts, suggesting he's inconsistent even where he has won before.
One of few course winners (2 wins here)
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TrackLab Insight
Winless from 12 races and never raced on wet ground, yet the editorial pick—a verdict that seems to rest on rating rather than form. His recent pattern of 5th-9th-6th-9th-9th finishes shows no upward trajectory, and the shift to soft ground is unproven territory; this is a contrarian selection that requires faith in class over current evidence.
Never raced on wet ground
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TrackLab Insight
A specialist with a perfect 3-win record at Southwell on standard ground—but that's irrelevant here. He's never won on soft ground (0 from 6) and has a poor record on galloping right-handed tracks (1 win from 21), making him a poor fit for Hamilton on wet going.
Among the more experienced (52 career races)
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TrackLab Insight
Hasn't won since August 2024—a 25-month drought—and his record on soft/standard ground is catastrophic (0 wins combined from 9 starts). Recent finishes of 8th-8th-5th suggest he's going backwards; an outsider at 27.0 for good reason.
Outsider at 27.0
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TrackLab Insight
Back after 298 days away, this horse owns the best record on wet ground in the field at 3 wins from 5 starts (60%)—a huge advantage in today's soft conditions. However, the long absence and poor form on fast ground (0 wins from 3) are genuine concerns; this is a specialist returning from a serious layoff, not a safe bet.
Best record on this ground (3 from 5)
Best record at this trip (2 from 7)
Absent 298 days (longest in field)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
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TrackLab Insight
A Class 2 winner at Newmarket in May 2024, but two years of poor form since suggest that breakthrough was the peak—he's won just twice in 20 races overall. Most concerning: he's never raced on wet ground and has a poor record on fast ground, making him a gamble in today's conditions.
Never raced on wet ground
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TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated runner at 13lbs below average, winless from 11 races but showing recent promise with a third-place finish at Hamilton just 22 days ago. Never raced on wet ground and carrying the lightest weight (116lbs) are her only advantages; she's an outsider at 26.0 for a reason.
Lowest rated, 13lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Never raced on wet ground
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