Back in action just six days after finishing second at Carlisle, Annandale looks fresh but faces a major problem: he has never won on soft ground (0 from 3) and this track will be wet underfoot. The market has drifted from 1.1 to 5.1, a telling sign that savvy backers are moving away despite his narrow recent defeat.
Runs again after just 6 daysMarket favourite (5.1)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2021
"He missed the break at Nottingham last week, was caught wide and got involved in quite a rough race, but he got up in the dying strides. He was clearly the best horse in the race and will improve as he goes up in trip from 1m2f. 18-04-21"
He's won at Hamilton before (90 days ago) and that edge matters on a course where few horses win. But he hasn't raced in 59 days and showed nothing at his last two outings (fifth at Ayr, fourth at Hamilton previously)—he's the only course winner here, but the form book suggests he's regressing rather than building on that success.
Wearing visorQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lightest weight in the field and has raced in the last six days, so he's battle-hardened and sharp. His form reads well at first glance (second at Hamilton three weeks ago), but the brutal truth is one win from 28 races over a full year—he's been completely outclassed by this field and soft ground has never suited him.
Carries lowest weight in fieldRuns again after just 6 days
Trainer Quotes
Jul 2025
"We've had him for a year. He's shown bits of promise here and there and his last run was quite good when third behind our own Straya. I don't think he's any kind of worldbeater but he might go up in trip and improve for that. He ran well over 1m2f at Ayr last week, and I think I'd like to step him up to 1m4f, but he's only three and so there's not a lot of opportunities to do that at the moment. We'll just to have to sit tight and wait, especially if we don't want to be travelling hours and hours down the road. He'll probably be out again when we get a bit of rain. 17-07-25"
The best win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 5 races, with three consecutive top-three finishes capped by a victory at Pontefract seven weeks ago. However, he has never won on standard ground (0 from 4), and while soft conditions haven't been tested much, the lack of specific evidence on wet turf leaves genuine uncertainty about how he'll handle it.
3 straight top-3 finishesBest career win rate in field (1 in 5)
S. Farmer(5)
·
R. Mike Smith
· 7yo
· 9st 8lb
· OR 57
FormTrack
11.0
Won 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
A course specialist at Musselburgh where she wins more than half her races, but has never won at Hamilton in eight attempts—and here's the killer: she has zero wins across six races on soft ground. Three straight top-three finishes suggest form is good, but this race, this ground, and this track are precisely where her record falls apart.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Trainer Quotes
Sep 2022
"She's a progressive filly who has won over 1m2f and 1m4f this season and is still on the upgrade. She's out of a Galileo mare from a very good family, of which the granny was the best. She's up to a mark of 71 and I expect more progress. 12-09-22"
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (166 days off)Won 2 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The editorial selection has been absent for 166 days—the longest break in the field—which raises serious questions about fitness for a race this tough. His only recent win came on good-to-soft ground five months ago; soft ground itself remains untested, and his modest 7% win rate gives little comfort that he'll overcome the layoff.
Fresh (78 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
This nine-year-old thrives specifically on heavy, waterlogged ground where she wins 3 from every 5 races—but soft ground is a different beast, and her recent form is dire (sixth, sixth, third). She's the most experienced horse here by a distance, but age and current form make her a longshot despite the theoretically favourable ground.
Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in this field with a proven soft-ground record (1 win from 5 starts, 20%), and he's raced just 13 days ago so fitness is current. However, his last three outings read like a decline: fifth, sixth, and ninth—he's coming into this race in poor recent form and needs to find form fast.
Unraced on wet ground with zero career wins from five starts, Spirit of Nature is the greenest and least capable horse in the field at the longest odds (41.0). His last two outings were a seventh and tenth at Ayr; he has no place here and his inexperience on soft ground makes him a complete unknown quantity.
Lowest rated, 6lbs below averageNever raced on wet ground
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.