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Valentine Catcher

There is something quietly stubborn about Valentine Catcher that keeps bringing people back. The five-year-old trained by Tim Easterby at Great Habton in North Yorkshire has won just 2 races from 19 — roughly 1 in every 10 — and has not tasted victory in its last six outings, with the most recent win coming at Nottingham back in August 2024. By most measures, that is a horse still searching for its best. And yet the potential has always been there, tantalisingly visible if you know where to look.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Bated Breath
Mother
Flycatcher
Owner
Habton Racing
Rating
64

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
19
Career races
2
Wins
10.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
26.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That potential was first spotted on a wet day at Redcar in October 2023, when Valentine Catcher announced itself with a debut win on heavy, muddy ground. Jockey David Allan — who has ridden the horse in 7 of its 19 races, winning once — admitted afterwards that he had not expected things to go so smoothly. The horse was slow out of the stalls, a little green and unsure of itself, yet still travelled well and won with something in reserve. "There's obviously plenty of potential there," Allan said, and Easterby was impressed enough to start thinking bigger.

By the spring of 2024, Easterby was eyeing a prestigious race at York — a sign that the yard genuinely believed there was a better horse in there. He also made an intriguing point: virtually everything Valentine Catcher had done to that point had been on wet or muddy ground, simply because that was what was available. Easterby felt the horse would be more effective on faster, drier conditions — which, if true, means its record on heavy ground may actually undersell what it is capable of.

The bulk of Valentine Catcher's career has been spent in Class 4 races — solid mid-tier company — where it has won 1 from 8, or about 1 in every 8 attempts at that level. That is not a dominant record, but it is a horse racing regularly and holding its own. Easterby's yard has been in excellent form this season with 126 winners, so the support structure is there. Valentine Catcher raced just yesterday, which means it is very much an active part of the string. The question now is whether a summer of proper fast ground can finally unlock whatever it was David Allan glimpsed on that wet October afternoon at Redcar.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
20 May
4th
Ayr
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
2 May
6th
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
21 Apr
2nd
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
10 Apr
9th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good · 16 runners
2 Dec
7th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 11 runners
21 Nov
5th
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 14 runners
28 Oct
6th
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Soft · 10 runners
24 Oct
9th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Soft · 14 runners
6 Oct
6th
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Soft · 11 runners
25 Sep
2nd
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
14.3%
Win rate
1/7
Won / Rode
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
Sean Kirrane Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
Amie Waugh
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Ethan Tindall(5)
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Doncaster
Galloping
3 3 other 2 May 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
3 2 seconds, 1 other 21 Apr 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 2 other 10 Apr 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 2 Dec 0%
Southwell
Galloping
2 2 other 21 Nov 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 win 13 Aug 100%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 win 20 Oct 100%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 other 17 Apr 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 20 May 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 29 Aug 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Nov 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 28 Oct 0%