Hamilton
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Pdm Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick, but her odds have drifted heavily from 1.1 to 6.0, which tells you the market isn't convinced. She's a one-win horse from 12 races with a critical weakness: zero wins from 6 attempts on good ground—exactly what she'll face today. The only thing working in her favour is she suits this distance, but without a win on today's ground conditions, she looks vulnerable to rivals who handle fast turf better.
Among the fancied runners (6.0)
Trainer Quotes
Aug 2024
"She's been placed several times and finally got her head in front in a valuable novice at Doncaster last week. We'll see what the handicapper does with her this week before deciding where to go next. 02-08-24"
TrackLab Insight
A quality 3-year-old with a 1-in-3.5 win rate and five wins already to her name—but she's fragile on good-to-soft ground (zero wins from 3 starts) and finished fourth here just 21 days ago despite being second-favourite. She looks too high-rated for her actual ground preferences and the fact she was beaten close to home at this very track recently is a red flag.
2nd highest rated (OR 81)
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 5.0 for good reason—this 4-year-old wins roughly 1 in 3 races and has two wins from three starts on good ground, which is perfect for today. He's fresh off back-to-back wins at Cartmel and Pontefract, though a poor run at York three weeks ago is a minor concern. He looks the most naturally suited horse in the field to the track conditions.
Best record on this ground (2 from 3)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Market favourite (5.0)
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2025
"He's a nice horse with a huge pedigree and won well at Punchestown last month. He jumps really well - he loves jumping. The plan is to go to the Cheltenham November meeting for the juvenile hurdle. 04-11-25"
TrackLab Insight
A 3-year-old with just 6 career races who won 79 days ago at Doncaster—that's a long absence for a young horse and she looks underdone. She's relatively inexperienced, carries a jockey-trainer combination with no wins together, and her recent form (6th at York, then nothing for 79 days) suggests she may have had issues in training. Hard to fancy her freshness.
Relatively inexperienced (6 career races)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
This is the most dangerous horse in the race—a proper 1-in-4 winner on current form with three straight top-3 finishes before an inexplicable blowout at Kempton last time. He's excellent over this distance (60% win rate) but here's the problem: zero wins from 5 starts on standard ground, and that's exactly what today offers. If this was soft turf, he'd be the obvious choice, but he's fighting the conditions.
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
A consistent competitor (placed more than half the time from 18 races) but hamstrung by terrible form on fast ground—zero wins from 7 combined starts on good-to-soft or good-to-firm turf. He also struggles on right-handed sharp tracks, which Hamilton is, making this a difficult task. His fourth-place finish here 66 days ago suggests he belongs in the conversation, but today's conditions work against him.
Among the more experienced (18 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Runs again after just 1 day—a tough turnaround—and finished fifth at Musselburgh yesterday. He's a workmanlike 1-in-5 winner but hardly a picture of freshness heading into a 13-furlong staying race. His record suggests he needs softer ground to be at his best, but there's a deeper issue: he's simply too tired after racing yesterday.
Runs again after just 1 days
TrackLab Insight
Eight races without a win and only one placed finish to her name—she's a horse that shows up but can't convert, and the recent run of 4-9-5-2-4-4 shows erratic form at best. At 29.0 odds, she's a lottery ticket, but the data gives you no reason to believe today is her day.
Outsider at 29.0
TrackLab Insight
Only 2 career races into a two-year-old's life and rated 7lbs below the field average—she's massively undercooked for a competitive handicap at this level. Zero wins from 2 starts and a long 36-day break since her last race, she carries the lightest weight but lacks the experience and form of almost every rival. This looks like a horse still at nursery stage, not ready for this company.
Lowest rated, 7lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Lightly raced (2 career races)
TrackLab Insight
The only genuine course specialist in the field—6 of his 8 career wins have come at Hamilton (29% win rate here)—but he's an 8-year-old with a critical flaw: zero wins from 4 starts on standard ground, and that's what he faces today. He's won here before on other conditions, but this particular ground type is a blind spot he hasn't overcome, despite his deep familiarity with the track.
Only course winner (6 from 21 here)
Most experienced (48 runs, field avg 14)
TrackLab Insight
Four races, zero wins, zero places—this horse simply hasn't delivered anything yet and is running again after just 7 days, which is either brave or desperate. At 61.0 odds he's a proper outsider and the recent form (7th, 9th, 7th, 11th) offers nothing to suggest today will be different. Hard to recommend a horse with this kind of track record.
Runs again after just 7 days
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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