Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 5 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (60% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite has won 7 of 11 races—a stunning 64% win rate—and has reeled off six consecutive victories, including a Class 1 win at Goodwood on 29 July. He's just three lengths below the top-rated Trawlerman and has the superior recent form, making him a serious danger despite being eight pounds lighter on the ratings.
Has won over this course and distance3 straight top-3 finishesBest career win rate in field (1 in 2)Market favourite (2.2)
Trainer Quotes
Mar 2026
"He won two Group 1 races last season, the Goodwood Cup followed by the St Leger. He'll be going down the staying route again. He's a big, long-striding horse and we're very happy with everything he's doing. He'll more than likely go for the Vintage Crop and the Saval Beg. 31-03-26"
Wearing hoodWon 4 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (40% win rate)Won at this distance 5 times
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick is rated five lengths clear of Scandinavia and boasts a 53% career win rate with five victories at this two-mile trip from ten attempts. However, he's an eight-year-old whose last two runs have been second place at Ascot, and he'll need to prove he hasn't declined with age in this elite field.
Top rated by 5lbsBest record at this trip (5 from 10)
Won 2 of last 5Won here 2 timesLoves this ground (67% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
This four-year-old has won 5 of 9 races—better than 1 in every 2—and claimed Class 1 victories at both Ascot and Goodwood in spring 2025, making him a genuine threat despite recent defeats. He's proven on this ground (2 wins from 3) and carries low draw weight, though he'll need to bounce back after finishing sixth at both Ascot and York.
Best record on this ground (2 from 3)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"He's had a pretty extraordinary time. I hope giving him a break after winning the King Edward VII will reap dividends. It was a tough race and it took a lot out of him. It was a big effort in the Breeders' Cup Turf, and you'd hope he's up to winning at the highest level. We're going to explore going further in distance and he could end up being a cup horse. He's certainly bred to be one and the Yorkshire Cup is going to be a good starting point. He's pretty high-class at a mile and a half as well, so we'll see how that develops. He'll have a Gold Cup entry and probably one in the Hardwicke too. He really thrived for the environment at the Breeders' Cup and could end up back there as well. 27-04-26"
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
This four-year-old is a machine for finding the frame—he's placed in 7 of 8 races and won at Sandown just 25 days ago—but his 25% overall win rate and recent third-place finishes suggest he may lack the class to beat the top horses in this Group 1. He's the least proven runner against elite company.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"I stood in the paddock after the Chester Vase last season and said this horse will win the St Leger. Nothing that happened in the interim dented that confidence, so it was very disappointing to run out of road at the most crucial time. He had surgery on his knee in September and was out of action until Christmas, but he came back into work in the first week in January and he's been back cantering since the middle of February. If everything goes perfectly he could be ready in time for the Ormonde Stakes, which should give us a good idea whether we should be campaigning him in Cup races or races like the Coronation Cup and King George. Ideally, he'll run with some cut in the ground, and something like the Irish St Leger looks tailor-made for him later in the year. 21-04-26"
Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Rated mid-field at 116, this four-year-old has shown excellent form over 1m6f–2m distances (33% win rate) and suits good ground, but his last run was a distant eighth at Ascot 40 days ago after winning at York. He remains largely unproven on the fast ground this race will be run on.
Mid-range in the market (14.5)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"He gave Merchant 8lb and was beaten only two and a half lengths in a handicap last May, and I think he was the best horse in the Queen's Vase on his next start. He was green and a thug beforehand - he just didn't behave or run like a professional, but was still beaten only a length. He looked like winning the St Leger in the final furlong on his last start, but he couldn't quite get past Scandinavia. That was a very good run and I think staying is his game. You'd have to dream that he'd be a Gold Cup horse with a run or two before. He might start in the Sagaro at Ascot, but it's not completely set in stone. He's a likeable thug and is looking super. 01-04-26"
Sep 2025
"We were quite hopeful of a good run from him in the Leger. I know it's easy in hindsight, but I think people are very short-sighted when they're looking at a horse's chance. A lot of people don't go back past their last run. Even looking at the handicap at York in May, he gave Merchant 8lb and got beaten two and a half lengths. Merchant has since won the King George V Handicap at Royal Ascot and the Gordon Stakes at Glorious Goodwood. Even at the weights that was a good effort, and then in the Queen's Vase at Ascot it was a hell of a run. He did a lot wrong that day but was beaten only a length by Paddy Twomey's Carmers, who was 4-1 for the St Leger. I was pretty confident we had him in good shape for the Leger and we were vindicated by keeping the faith in him. There might have been only seven runners but the winner was admirable and I think it was a strong Leger, with the Derby winner in fourth. He arguably delivered a Group 1 performance when runner-up, without quite winning the prize, and it gives us a taste for what is maybe to come next year. We'll be unlikely to see him again this season. His season started early as his first run was in early March. He's had a very long year, although he's had only two races since Royal Ascot. He's all about next year now. I think he's going to be more of a Cup horse than a middle-distance horse and it'll be exciting to have him in the team - it's always nice to have a strong stayer. We hope he might be a horse to have around for another couple of years. The programme for Cup horses is interesting before Ascot, but after Ascot there's a lovely run of staying races, so we have a lot to look forward to with him. 24-09-25"
Quick turnaroundWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Among the most experienced runners here with 14 career races, Illinois arrives fresh off a recent fifth-place finish at Curragh but showed he can win at the top level with a Class 1 victory at Ascot 38 days ago. His 29% win rate at the highest level suggests he's competitive, though he's rated below both Trawlerman and Scandinavia.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (50% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
A course winner at Goodwood with a solid 36% win rate, French Master has finished in the top three seven times from 11 races and was only beaten narrowly at Ascot last time out. However, he's rated eight lengths below the favourite Scandinavia and lacks the standout recent form of the field's leading contenders.
Wearing blinkersWon 2 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (33% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
This mare is one of only two course winners at Goodwood in the field and won a Group 1 at Newmarket last season, but she's rated five lengths below the field average and has managed just 3 wins from 17 races overall. Her recent fifth-place finish at Ascot and poor record on standard ground (0 wins from 3) make her a long shot despite previous course success.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.