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Miss Alpilles

Miss Alpilles is a slow burner who has finally found her feet on the racecourse. The five-year-old has won just three of her eighteen races, a modest 17 per cent win rate, but what matters is the timing: she has won twice in her last six outings, most recently pulling off a top-tier victory at Newmarket on 25 September 2025. That win came after a long drought — nearly ten months without a success — which makes the breakthrough all the more significant.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Sea The Stars
Mother
Alma Linda
Trainer
E Walker
Owner
John Pearce Racing Ltd
Rating
109

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
18
Career races
3
Wins
16.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
38.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What's intriguing about Miss Alpilles is how her trainer Ed Walker cracked the code. She was a disappointment as a younger horse, and the team spent years chasing the wrong ground conditions. The turning point came when jockey Kieran Shoemark suggested she actually despised the soft, muddy going everyone assumed suited her. Once switched to fast, dry ground, she blossomed. That Newmarket victory was on exactly those conditions, and it vindicated the new approach entirely. With Shoemark in the saddle, Miss Alpilles wins at a healthy 40 per cent rate — two victories from five races together — suggesting the pair have found genuine chemistry.

The horse shows clear preferences that now guide her campaign. She performs best at longer distances beyond two miles, where she has won one of three races, and she clearly prefers normal ground conditions. Walker has bigger plans than simply repeating recent form: he was considering testing Miss Alpilles in the Sagaro Stakes at Ascot, a proper staying race. At five years old, after years of searching for the right recipe, she may finally be entering a productive phase. The mare that once looked like classic potential and then disappointed for years has become exactly what Walker suspected she could be — a genuinely fun horse for the longer distances, now that her the yard understand how to run her.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 7 starts (29%)
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 25% win rate
Well suited by Long Distance (2m+) distances: 33% win rate
Effective partnership with Kieran Shoemark: 40% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
Long Distance (2M+)
Loves
1M6F – 2M
Ok
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
28 Jul
6th
Goodwood
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
18 Jun
5th
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
23 May
2nd
York
1m6f – 2m · Good · 7 runners
1 May
3rd
Ascot
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
25 Sep
🏆 Won
Newmarket
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
23 Aug
🏆 Won
Goodwood
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
3 Aug
2nd
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
11 Jul
10th
Ascot
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
29 Jun
5th
Ffos Las
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 9 runners
31 May
DNF
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
40%
Win rate
2/5
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Ascot
Galloping
4 1 third, 3 other 18 Jun 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 11 May 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 28 Jul 50%
Chester
Tight
2 1 second, 1 other 3 Aug 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 win 5 Jul 100%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 win 25 Sep 100%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Apr 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 9 Oct 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Sep 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Jun 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 second 23 May 0%