Illinois
Illinois has the look of a horse caught between two futures, and that uncertainty is exactly what makes him interesting. A five-year-old trained by Aidan O'Brien at Cashel, he has won four of his last sixteen races—a 25% win rate that sits somewhere between respectable and unfinished business. What matters more than the numbers is where those wins have come. He has won twice at Ascot, including a top-level victory there two months ago, and claimed another Class 1 prize at Chester in May. These are not small accomplishments, yet they sit alongside a second place in the Ascot Gold Cup and a defeat behind the highly regarded Scandinavia at Goodwood. The pattern suggests a horse good enough to win at the highest level on his day, but not quite consistent enough to do it regularly.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Owner
Derrick Smith & Mrs John Magnier & Michael Tabor
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
75%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
O'Brien has explicitly described Illinois as versatile, and the horse's recent form bears this out. He loves fast, dry ground—winning two of five races when conditions suit him—and shows particular mastery at Ascot, where he has won twice from just three attempts. His partnership with regular rider Ryan Moore works too: they have won together twice in six races, a 33% win rate that outpaces his career average. Last raced just a day ago, Illinois remains actively campaigned. The trainer has hinted that the horse could drop back in distance for something like the Coronation Cup, or step up into longer-distance cup races. He is, O'Brien said, the kind of animal that will do whatever you ask of him. That adaptability, combined with proven form at the sport's top table, keeps doors open. He may never be a Gold Cup certainty, but on the right day, at the right track, with the ground just so, Illinois has already shown he belongs there.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
21 Aug
2nd
York
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
28 Jul
5th
Goodwood
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
19 Jul
5th
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
20 Jun
🏆 Won
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
6 Jun
6th
Epsom Downs
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners
7 May
3rd
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
14 Sep
7th
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 9 runners
29 Jul
2nd
Goodwood
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
19 Jun
2nd
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
8 May
🏆 Won
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 6 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
| Ascot Galloping |
3 |
2 wins, 1 second |
20 Jun |
66.7% |
| The Curragh Galloping |
3 |
1 win, 2 other |
19 Jul |
33.3% |
| Chester Tight |
2 |
1 win, 1 third |
7 May |
50% |
| Goodwood Undulating |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
28 Jul |
0% |
| York Galloping |
2 |
2 seconds |
21 Aug |
0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
14 Sep |
0% |
| Lingfield Park Sharp |
1 |
1 second |
11 May |
0% |
| Epsom Downs Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
6 Jun |
0% |
| Leopardstown Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
7 Apr |
0% |