Galway

The standout favourite on ratings, rated +7 above the field average with a brilliant 38% win rate across 8 races — winning roughly 2 in every 5 starts. Her record at this 7-furlong trip is exceptional: 2 wins from 3 races, and she won a Class 1 at Sandown just months ago, proving she mixes it with the very best. Draw 10 in a low-bias course puts her at a minor disadvantage, but her elite form and consistency mark her as the horse to beat.

The field's most experienced runner with 17 races under her belt, but that experience comes with baggage: just 1 win across all those outings and a glaring weakness on normal ground (0 wins from 5 starts). She's dropping down 2 classes and has been placed 4 times in recent outings, so she competes, but her poor record on the going and shorter distances (where this race sits at 7f) makes her unlikely to fire.

A 1-in-11 winner across 11 races, but that sole victory at Gowran Park in August 2024 tells a story, and she's racked up 3 placings in her last 6 outings including a third at Leopardstown just 21 days ago. Drawn in the ultra-low bias slot (1) and well-suited to 7-furlong distances (17% win rate), but competing at Listed level with such a modest win rate is a stretch.

With only 2 career races and no wins or places, this horse is flying blind into Listed company — far too inexperienced and poorly prepared for this step up. Recent efforts saw her finish fifth at Pontefract and fourteenth at Ascot, and pairing an unknown quantity with a jockey-trainer combination meeting for the first time makes this a high-risk gamble.

One of the more successful horses in the field with 2 wins from 11 races (roughly 1 in 5 or 6), but recent form has deteriorated sharply: fifth at Limerick 50 days ago, then a 19th and 11th before that represent a horse struggling to find her feet. Recent poor runs on what appear to be galloping tracks suggest she'll struggle with Galway's characteristics, and she's clearly regressing.