Galway

Celtic Moon is the standout talent in this field: two races, one win four weeks ago at Bellewstown, one place, meaning she wins 1 in every 2 races — far better than any rival here. She's from a powerhouse yard in J P Murtagh's stable and despite drifting in the market, her raw record makes her the real threat to the favourite.

Bold Commander won't win again on the form shown here — three races, no wins, and best finish of second place — but being trained by one of racing's most powerful operations at A P O'Brien counts for something. He's drawn in the low part of the field where horses enjoy better historical win rates at this course and distance.

Margot Mae is the editorial selection and highest-rated runner here by a narrow margin, though her form reads 7-3-6 — a third place finish three months ago being her only consolation. She brings the smallest weight advantage and is yet to win, so her rating lead will need to translate to the track on the turn for home when the real race begins.

Eighteenth Smiles is the longest-odds runner in this field at 15.0 and the lowest-rated by the handicapper, but he's been away for 60 days which raises questions about recent readiness. Four races without a win and precious few placed finishes, he's genuinely an outsider — though trained by the powerful Joseph Patrick O'Brien yard.