Midnight Jet is the highest-rated horse here by 5 lengths and has the extraordinary distinction of finishing in the money in all 6 races — no other runner comes close to that consistency. The major concern: it has never raced on normal ground and hasn't run since winning at Killarney 80 days ago, so there's a real question mark over whether it can transfer that reliability to today's conditions.
Roced Dino is the market favourite at 2.86 and has never finished worse than second across 4 races — a podium finish record that is genuinely rare in this field. The win came at Downpatrick 83 days ago, but that Cheltenham 10th place finish just 56 days later is a warning sign that form can turn quickly at this level.
Brother Walfrid won at Punchestown just 54 days ago and has finished in the frame in 3 of 4 races, which is solid form for a relatively inexperienced horse at this stage. The trainer-jockey pairing has one of the strongest records in the yard, but with only 4 races under its belt, this horse remains a work in progress compared to more seasoned rivals.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Flying Ace has the best record in this field at 3 wins from 5 races and has won on this ground in 3 of its last 4 attempts — a proven track specialist. More impressive still: after two early defeats, this horse has reeled off three straight wins and just won 32 days ago, so it arrives here in red-hot form and is the only runner with a win rate better than 1 in 2.
Best record on this ground (3 from 4)3 straight top-3 finishesBest career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Rosie's Wings won at Punchestown just 54 days ago and has an excellent record on long-distance races (33% win rate) over 2m-plus, which suits this 2m 4f trip perfectly. The horse is a year older than most rivals and has shown it can compete at this level, though its overall win rate of 1 in 5 races means it will need to reproduce that Punchestown form to trouble the market leaders.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Siege of Carthage has won 1 of 3 races, including a recent victory at Limerick just 28 days ago, which puts it in good immediate form compared to some rivals. However, with only 3 races under its belt and a troubling 19-length defeat at Wexford 64 days ago, this is a highly inconsistent horse that hasn't proven it can handle this step up in quality.
Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Luker's Tipple is the most experienced runner here with 20 races and has just notched its first win at Downpatrick 16 days ago after a long wait — so it arrives here with some momentum. However, the underlying numbers are stark: a 5% win rate from 20 races and a poor record on soft ground mean this is a horse that has struggled to break through until now, and today's normal ground is untested territory in recent form.
Look Sport is a complete unknown quantity — it has just one race to its name, which it won at Kilbeggan 76 days ago, but jumping into a competitive field this quickly after a debut win is a significant step up. The trainer's yard is in fine form this season, but at 26.0 odds and with virtually no form to analyse, this is a punt rather than a calculated choice.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.