Fontwell

The editorial verdict calls this a great opportunity for Granny Hawkins to complete a four-timer, and the form backs that up — three wins in a row, the best career win rate in the field at roughly one in four, and a trainer in Alan King who has won three from nine in the last two weeks. She carries the lightest competitive weight in the field and arrives here in the form of her life.

Officially the highest-rated horse in this field by 6lbs, which on paper makes him the one to beat — but the reality is more complicated. He pulled up last time out 88 days ago, has never won at Fontwell, and his famous record of three wins from four races is built entirely at Worcester, not here. The odds drifting dramatically from near-evens to 7.5 tells its own story.

He carries the lowest weight in the field and is rated 3lbs below the field average, so the handicapper has given him every chance. The concern is that his most recent run was a seventh-place finish here at Fontwell just 27 days ago, beaten 17 lengths on this same course and distance — he's already shown us what he can do here, and it wasn't enough.

One win from 26 career races is a brutally thin return, and his last outing saw him finish tenth, beaten nearly 93 lengths at Uttoxeter. The jockey and trainer are also pairing up for the first time today, which adds another layer of uncertainty around a horse that is hard to make a case for.