The second favourite in the market, and the editorial verdict points directly to his last run: he was well-backed to win at Chester just 16 days ago and was beaten by less than a length over a longer trip, which suggests he's fit, in form, and may be better over today's shorter distance. He draws well in stall 2, in the low-draw band that wins more than any other at this course and distance. This is a horse arriving into this race in the best possible shape.
The market favourite, but there's a significant problem: he has never raced on normal ground before, and every single career win has come on heavy or wet ground where he wins at a remarkable 2-from-3 rate. On soft ground his record drops to zero wins from three races, and normal conditions today are drier still. The market is backing ability that has only ever shown itself on completely different ground.
Never raced on normal groundMarket favourite (4.1)
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2025
"He ran a huge race in the big handicap hurdle at the Dublin Racing Festival when second, but missed Cheltenham with a small setback afterwards. Hopefully we can get a clear run with him this season as he's talented. 17-11-25"
Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Won at Roscommon just 13 days ago, making her one of the freshest winners in this field, and her record at this distance is strong with a 33% win rate. The concern is her ground form — zero wins from three races on soft ground, and she drops back into a much larger and more competitive field today than she's been used to. Improving and in form, but this is a step up in difficulty.
Relatively inexperienced (8 career races)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"She's a lovely filly and we're surprised she hasn't broken her maiden yet. Hopefully she can do so soon and she'll be going over a mile and a half. We've always thought an awful lot of her and she's got a lovely pedigree. 27-04-26"
Fresh (240 days off)Won 2 of last 5Loves this ground (33% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The best win rate in this field — winning roughly 1 in every 3 races — and a Cheltenham Class 1 victory on his record puts Lark In The Mornin in a different class to most of these rivals. The concern is straightforward: he hasn't raced in 240 days, and first runs back from long breaks can be hit or miss. If the break has freshened him up rather than left him rusty, he's a serious contender.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2023
"He won a Listowel maiden on the Flat as a two-year-old and had just the one start at Cork this year in April. He's a horse we've always liked and he'll start off in a juvenile hurdle in the next few weeks. If he takes to hurdling then he could be a good prospect. 27-11-23"
Apr 2023
"He won on his debut at Listowel. We see him as a middle-distance horse and I'm thinking of starting him off in a mile and a quarter winners' race at Cork for three-year-olds and we will see from there. If that went well then I suppose he would step into stakes company. I thought it was a real smart performance at Listowel as it can be a tricky place to run first time out. He has trained well since. 06-04-23"
His most recent run at Cork 21 days ago has no result in the data, which makes him hard to assess with confidence coming in. What we do know is that he hasn't won on normal ground in three attempts, which is a problem on a day like today. The low draw in stall 6 is a plus, but the ground form is a real question mark.
Won 0 of last 5Loves this ground (50% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The standout record in this field on normal ground — two wins from four races on this surface, which is a 50% hit rate — and he's the freshest of the fancied horses, racing just 45 days ago. He also draws well in stall 4, which sits in the low-draw band that has the best record at this course and distance. Consistent rather than spectacular, but the conditions are tailor-made for him.
Five races in with no wins, and crucially she has never raced on normal ground before — so today is uncharted territory for her. A second at Navan 29 days ago shows she can be competitive, but stepping into a 27-runner field on a surface she's never experienced is a significant unknown. She's drawn widest of all in stall 27, which adds another layer of difficulty.
Wearing tongue strapFresh (243 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The second-highest rated horse in the field, but his record on normal ground is a blank — zero wins from three races in these conditions — which is a real concern given that's exactly what he faces today. Returning from over six months off adds another layer of uncertainty for a horse still relatively new to racing with just six outings under his belt. There's talent here, but today's conditions don't suit based on what we know.
Wearing blinkersFresh (246 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (27% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Five career wins and a placed run in a Class 2 at Newmarket suggest genuine quality, but two things stand out as concerns: he hasn't raced in nearly eight months, and he has never won in 11 attempts on right-handed galloping tracks — which is exactly what the Curragh is. The record on normal ground is decent with three wins from 11 tries, but that track record is a significant flag.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in this field who has already won over this exact course and distance — and his record at this trip is outstanding, with two wins from three races. The problem is his last run here was nearly a year ago, and his most recent outing at Gowran Park 45 days ago ended in an eighth-place finish beaten nearly 20 lengths. He needs to bounce back sharply from that.
Has won over this course and distanceBest record at this trip (2 from 3)
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 2 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Like Robbies Rock, Trubshaw has actually won over this exact course and distance — and his record at this trip is a healthy 33% win rate. However, he has never won on normal ground in six attempts, which is today's condition, and he was beaten over five lengths at Navan just 29 days ago. The course form is there but the ground form contradicts it.
Won 2 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (29% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Won at Killarney just 15 days ago, so he's race-fit and in form — one of the most recently active horses in this field. Five career wins from 27 races and two wins on normal ground tell you he handles today's conditions. The low draw in stall 3 is also a genuine advantage at this course and distance.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
Wearing hoodWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Won at Limerick 54 days ago but was then beaten over 12 lengths at Wexford just 17 days ago, so recent form is mixed. More significantly, his best distance record is over shorter trips of 7 furlongs to a mile, and today's 1m6f trip is at the outer edge of his comfort zone. His record on normal ground is also blank — zero wins from three attempts.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
Wearing tongue strapWon 1 of last 5Loves this ground (40% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Won at Navan just 29 days ago and has a solid 40% win rate on normal ground, making him one of the more interesting runners at a price of 18.0. His record at today's distance is also strong with a 33% win rate over 1m6f to 2m. The main concern is his draw in stall 19, which sits in the high band that historically hasn't performed as well at this course and distance.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (225 days off)Won 2 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (27% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Seven career wins from 28 races makes him one of the more accomplished horses in this field, and he won a Class 2 race at Newmarket just before his current break — that's a higher level of competition than most of these rivals have faced. The issue is he hasn't raced for over seven months, and his draw in stall 18 sits in the middle band, which has the worst record at this course and distance. Plenty of ability, but ring rust and the draw work against him.
One of the more successful in the field (7 career wins)
Fresh (237 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Ran second at Down Royal before her break, and her record on normal ground reads well — one win from three races on this surface, the best relevant record among the returning horses. Six months off is still a significant hurdle, but she arrives with a decent profile and a record that suggests she competes rather than just makes up numbers. Her draw in stall 9 sits in the mid-range.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
With 44 races behind her, Whimsy is one of the most experienced horses in this field, and she's placed 28 times — that's a remarkable level of consistency. But she has never won on normal ground in six attempts, has never won on right-handed galloping tracks in 14 tries, and hasn't won on left-handed galloping tracks in 12 either. The places keep coming, but a win here looks a stretch.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (261 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The longest absence in the entire field — 261 days without a race — makes him very hard to trust, regardless of any underlying ability. He also has a limited career record of just one win from eight races, and his last three runs include a 13th and an eighth. Without a recent run to show he's back to his best, this is a big ask.
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Six races in and still to win or place — Westminster Moon's record is as straightforward as it gets: zero wins, zero top-three finishes from seven outings. Recent runs include a 19th at Galway and an 11th at this course, which doesn't suggest improvement is just around the corner. Hard to make a case for him in a competitive 27-runner field.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
One of the more experienced horses in the field with 22 races, but he has never won on normal ground in seven attempts — the exact conditions today — and has also failed to win at the Curragh in five previous races here. That combination of track and ground records is a hard case to argue against. His best form has come on soft ground or over shorter distances.
A 31% career win rate matches the best in this field, but virtually all of that success has come at Dundalk on the all-weather surface — all four career wins are from that track, and his record on normal ground is zero wins from five races. Finishing ninth at Leopardstown just 14 days ago doesn't help his cause. Today's conditions are precisely the environment where his record suggests he won't fire.
Six races in with zero wins, and his form has been heading in the wrong direction — a seventh at Ballinrobe most recently after a sixth and a fifth at this course. He's the least experienced horse in terms of wins in the field, and a 27-runner competitive race against more seasoned rivals is a tough ask. The data simply doesn't give you much to work with here.
Her most recent run at Cork 21 days ago has no result available, which makes her current form difficult to read. What we do know is she's shown ability — a win and three places from six races — but an 11th at Dundalk and the high draw in stall 26, which sits in the worst-performing draw band at this course, work against her. The trainer is respected, but there's too much unknown here.
One win from 15 races, and the result of his most recent run at Cork is unavailable in the data, making him difficult to assess ahead of today. His best form has come on all-weather surfaces at Dundalk, and the high draw in stall 21 puts him in the band with the weakest record at this course and distance. Hard to find a compelling reason to single him out in a field this size.
Won 1 of last 5Has won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by some distance — 48 races compared to a field average of 17 — but that experience tells a story of struggle at this type of track, with zero wins from 10 attempts on right-handed galloping courses like the Curragh. A ninth at Ballinrobe just 16 days ago is also hard to overlook. Durable, but the track record here is a significant concern.
Only wins on soft or wet ground — two wins from five attempts in those conditions — but has never won on normal ground in nine races, making today's conditions a near-certain barrier. He also hasn't won on right-handed or left-handed galloping tracks, and the Curragh is a right-handed galloping course. The data points firmly in one direction here: not today.
J. Pietropaolo(7)
·
P. A Fahy
· 8yo
· 8st 7lb
· OR 69
FreshnessForm
0.7
Fresh (143 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field by some margin — 12 points below the field average — and his ground record is damaging: zero wins on normal ground from eight attempts, zero wins on yielding ground from nine, and zero wins on heavy ground from six. He's been beaten over 43 lengths in his most recent outing. The data offers very little encouragement for a competitive 27-runner race.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.