Curragh
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Kilkea Castle Marble Hill Stakes (Group 3)
Starts in
Awaiting result
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Super Value
TrackLab Insight
The standout runner in this field — Great Barrier Reef is the only horse here who has already won at this exact course and distance, making its debut victory look all the more relevant. The market agrees, sending it off as a short-priced favourite at 1.67, and it is ridden by Ryan Moore, who wins with roughly 1 in 3 of his rides for this trainer. It has never raced on normal ground before, which is the one small question mark, but everything else points its way.
Only course winner (1 from 1 here)
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Market favourite (1.67)
TrackLab Insight
Carry The Flag arrives here having won at Naas last time out, giving it the most solid recent form in the field — a win and a second place from just two races. Crucially though, it has never raced on normal ground, so today's standard conditions are an unknown. It ran second here at the Curragh on its debut, so the track holds no fears, but the market has drifted it out to 10s.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Otherworldly finished second on debut, which puts it ahead of the horses who ran worse or haven't run at all, but it hasn't won yet either. It is trained by Joseph O'Brien, whose jockey partnership here wins roughly 1 in 6 races together — solid, but not elite. At 10s it is priced similarly to Carry The Flag, and the market appears to be treating them as roughly comparable each-way chances behind the favourite.
Racecourse debut
TrackLab Insight
Edward Thatch won at Cork three weeks ago on what was his only race so far, making him one of several once-raced winners in this field. Like a few of his rivals, he has never run on normal ground before, so today introduces a new variable. His odds have drifted from 5.5 to 7s, and with the jockey-trainer combination winning roughly 1 in 12 races together, he faces a tough crowd here.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Immortal Guard is making its debut here, so we have no race record to go on — the form figure of '1' in the data appears to be an error in the available information, and this horse should be treated as completely unexposed. It is trained by the same trainer as Edward Thatch, a combination that wins roughly 1 in 5 races together. At 12.5, it is one of the bigger outsiders, and without any public form it is genuinely hard to assess.
Racecourse debut
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in the field with just one race to its name, Alaskan Bear finished second on that debut outing at Naas two weeks ago, beaten by nearly four lengths. Its odds have drifted sharply from 23s out to 42s, suggesting the market doesn't fancy it much against more impressive debutants here. With no win on the board and a step up in class, it faces a stiff ask.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Lars Soldier's only race came 70 days ago right here at the Curragh, where it finished fourth and was beaten eight lengths — the least encouraging debut form in the field. It has also never raced on normal ground, and its odds of 23s reflect a market that sees little reason for optimism. The long gap since that run adds further uncertainty about where it is right now.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Brazilian Diva is the only horse in the field to have run at Dundalk — a very different, artificial surface — and finished third there, beaten over nine lengths. Stepping up to a Group 3 race at the Curragh, against rivals who have either won here or shown sharper form elsewhere, represents a massive jump in class. At 101s, the market has effectively written off its chances, and it is hard to argue with that assessment.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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