A. O'Sullivan(5)
·
P. T Foley
· 6yo
· 11st 3lb
· OR 107
HeadgearForm
20
Good Value
Wearing hoodWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
One of only two course winners in the field and won at Cork just 24 days ago after a long drought without success. Boasts 25% win rate on good ground (1 from 4) and has shown genuine consistency with 8 places in 13 races, but that 8% career win rate reflects a horse more comfortable filling the frame than winning races.
Market favourite at 5.0 and the most experienced in the field with 37 races, but crucially has never won on good ground (0 from 10)—a fatal flaw on this ground. He was second by a nose at Galway just two days ago, showing he's competitive, but his 5% win rate and track record suggest he's a horse built for wetter conditions that won't be present here.
Most experienced (37 runs, field avg 18)Market favourite (5.0)
Trainer Quotes
Feb 2023
"The plan is to run Metamorpheus in the Boodles provided he sneaks in. 25-02-23"
Wearing tongue strapWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Has strung together three straight top-3 finishes and just won at Limerick 32 days ago—classic form peak timing for a handicap final. The concern: he's won only twice in 22 races (9% win rate) and has never won on yielding or good-to-yielding ground, so he's vulnerable if conditions soften even slightly. A solid podium candidate but the data suggests he'll need everything to go right.
The lowest-rated runner and carries the lightest weight, but just won at Ballinrobe 13 days ago and boasts 20% win rate on good ground (1 from 5)—solid recent form for a horse rated 11lbs below average. The concern is limited data overall (one win from 14 races) and an 11th-place finish at Leopardstown sandwiched between his victory, suggesting he's still searching for consistency.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
Running back just seven days after finishing fifth at Galway, and his only win came more than two years ago—he's essentially a non-winner at this stage despite steady place-getting. The one strength: a 25% win rate on good-to-yielding ground, but he's never won on straight good ground and lacks the recent sharpness of rivals.
Quick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Eight years old with one win from 18 races and running back just seven days after a well-beaten seventh at Galway—there's little to excite here. His only victory came nearly two years ago, and recent form shows consistent failure (7-8-11 across his last three runs), making him a longshot at best.
S. Torrens
·
P. T Foley
· 6yo
· 11st 12lb
· OR 116
HeadgearForm
6.4
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (40% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Won at Cork just 24 days ago and brings the best record on good ground in the field at 40% (2 from 5), making her perfectly suited to the normal-ground conditions here. At 2m1f, she's proven over the trip (1 win from 3) and has the strongest win rate in the entire field at 17%. She's the horse in form and the only runner with a recent Cork victory to prove it.
Best record on this ground (2 from 5)Best record at this trip (1 from 3)Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Running back just seven days after a poor sixth-place finish at Galway—turnaround racing that rarely produces winners, especially for a horse with only one victory in six starts. Won at Sligo 55 days ago but the form either side of that victory is patchy (9th and 6th), and he's facing horses with significantly stronger recent momentum.
Placed in two of his last three races (second at Wexford, third at Ballinrobe) and finally broke through to win at Clonmel in April after 11 unsuccessful attempts. Data is thin and he's never won on good ground, but the three placings in recent outings suggest he's at least competitive at this level—a modest claims horse.
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Has strung together three consecutive top-3 finishes and was beaten only a nose at Killarney 18 days ago, showing genuine momentum. Her 11% win rate on good ground is respectable and she's clearly in form, but with just one win in 23 races overall (4% win rate), she remains a horse more comfortable placing than winning races.
Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The editorial selection, but the numbers tell a sobering story: just one win in 36 races (3% win rate), and that sole victory came six weeks ago at Downpatrick. He's the highest-rated horse at 108 and boasts a reasonable 10% win rate on good ground, but he fails to win on every other surface tested—a massive red flag for a horse asked to carry top weight in a competitive 12-runner field.
S. O'Callaghan(3)
·
P. J Rothwell
· 5yo
· 10st 8lb
· OR 98
FormTrack
2.2
Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The second-most successful horse in the field with two wins from 17 races (12% win rate) and won at Wexford 68 days ago. However, he's a 5-year-old 11lbs below the weights that suit him best and just finished fifth at Killarney 18 days ago—his recent form is trending downwards after that mid-summer victory.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.