Wearing blinkersQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Black Storm is the top-rated horse but has won only once in 17 races—a 6% win rate that doesn't match his elevated mark. His recent form shows three consecutive third-place finishes, suggesting he's consistently competitive without converting, and he has zero wins from 7 attempts on good ground, a notable vulnerability on today's normal turf.
2nd in the market (5.6)
Trainer Quotes
Jul 2025
"We picked him up recently at the sales for Ursa Major Racing. He came out of Kevin Coleman's yard. He's got nice form in Ireland - he won at Dundalk last season and finished third on his last run at Down Royal in June behind Summer Snow. He's a nice, big horse so it will be exciting to get him out on the track. 17-07-25"
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Won here 3 times
TrackLab Insight
Vince Le Prince's progressive profile cited in the editorial rests on his reputation as a Catterick specialist with 3 wins from 12 races at this track, and his 25% win rate here is compelling. However, his recent form is chaotic—11th at Redcar nine days ago, sandwiched around a narrow second at Catterick 26 days earlier—making consistency the key question despite his clear affinity for this course.
Wearing blinkersQuick turnaroundWon 1 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The market has backed Runninsonofagun as favourite at 5.5 despite a modest 8% career win rate, betting instead on his three straight top-3 finishes at Ayr culminating in a narrow second just nine days ago. However, his win record is thin (2 from 25), and this represents a significant jump in class from his recent wins at Navan and Ayr, making him a risky short-priced favourite.
S. Farmer(5)
·
I. Jardine
· 5yo
· 9st 13lb
· OR 69
HeadgearForm
9.5
Wearing hoodWon 3 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Classy Clarets has the best career win rate in the field at 18% and arrives with three straight wins—an electric streak that started just 32 days ago at Hamilton. His record at seven furlongs to a mile is 31%, and the horse clearly thrives with racing confidence, though this will be his toughest test yet at Class 5 level against a field full of live dangers.
3 straight top-3 finishesBest career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Won at this course & distanceWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Emerald Army won at Doncaster just 16 days ago but carries the lowest rating (10lbs below field average) and lowest weight in the field, placing him among the least experienced runners here. His 13% career win rate and recent sixth-place finishes at Thirsk and Catterick suggest he's stepped up in class, though his recent victory hints at possible improvement.
Lowest rated, 10lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
Won at this course & distanceWearing visorWon 2 of last 5Won here 4 timesLoves this ground (31% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
This is the standout course specialist—Evocative Spark has won 4 of 7 races at Catterick, a 57% win rate that towers above every rival here. The seven-furlong distance also suits perfectly with a 21% win rate over the trip, and normal ground favours him with 5 wins from 16 races on good ground, though his 7th-place finish at Haydock ten days ago suggests recent form is patchy.
Course specialist (4 wins from 7 here)Best record on this ground (5 from 16)
Won 1 of last 5Has won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Carolus Magnus has placed in 2 of his last 3 races and won at Musselburgh just 56 days ago, suggesting he's found a rhythm at eight years old. His 21% win rate on good ground is solid, and the seven-furlong to mile range suits him, but he hasn't won on standard ground in 9 attempts, which is a significant worry given today's normal conditions.
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
No Return is an outsider at 15.0 with just 2 wins from 23 races, and his last three outings have been disappointing—all fifth or fourth place with his most recent run 44 days ago. His 20% win rate on good ground is interesting but undercut by zero wins on standard ground in 8 attempts, making him poorly suited to today's conditions.
Willolarupi is unfancied at 19.0 but brings genuine credentials with a 33% win rate on standard ground (1 from 3) and 22% on good-to-firm (2 from 9), though today's normal conditions sit uncomfortably between these strengths. His fourth-place finish at Pontefract 31 days ago is his only recent data point, leaving form questions unanswered.
Fresh (74 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Folkene has won 1 of 3 races at seven furlongs, giving her the best record at this trip in the field, but her recent form is deeply concerning—10th, 4th, 6th in her last three outings, with only that fourth place breaking a pattern of bottom-half finishes. The market has abandoned her at 21.0, and with just 14% career win rate, she needs to reverse a sharp downward curve to trouble the front runners.
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.