Quick turnaroundWon 3 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite, though the odds have drifted significantly from what looked like a near-certainty earlier. Three straight top-3 finishes including a win just 13 days ago makes the recent form hard to ignore, but here's the catch: almost all that success comes on artificial surfaces, and on normal turf conditions like today's he's managed just 1 win from 18 races. Catterick is also a right-handed, undulating track — exactly the kind he tends to struggle on.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (29% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The editorial verdict picks this horse to win, and the key standout is the best record in the field on today's normal ground — 2 wins from 7 races, a solid 29% on this surface when rivals have far thinner records. Two near-misses this season, finishing 2nd on both completed runs, suggest a horse in good shape and due a change of luck. The jockey is riding this combination for the first time, which adds a small unknown, but the ground conditions strongly suit.
Three consecutive finishes of 4th, 5th and 6th paint a picture of a horse that's consistently just outside the places and can't quite break through — knocking on the door without anyone answering. His best form comes on faster, drier ground rather than today's normal conditions, where he's yet to win in seven attempts. Nothing in the recent run of form suggests a change of luck is imminent.
Won at this course & distanceQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Won here 3 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Three wins from 12 races at Catterick makes this horse one of only two genuine course specialists in the field alongside Crocodile Power, and a 3rd just six days ago at Ayr shows she's in active and competitive form. The concern is a record of zero wins from eight races on right-handed sharp tracks — and Catterick is exactly that — which sits awkwardly against those course wins. She's also rated 3lbs below the field average, which helps with the weight she carries today.
Wearing visorFresh (61 days off)Jockey in form (2 wins in 14 days)Won 0 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Eight career wins from 58 races tells you this is a well-seasoned competitor, but the last run was a heavy defeat at Southwell and he hasn't raced in two months. His record on today's normal ground conditions is poor — no wins from seven attempts — and while a visor and tongue strap are fitted to sharpen his focus, the data doesn't strongly favour him here.
One of the more successful in the field (8 career wins)
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Second in the market at 5.5, yet this horse has never won in 15 career races — making it, alongside Hostility, one of two winless horses near the top of the market, which is unusual. Seven placed finishes show consistent competitiveness, and a 4th here at Catterick 19 days ago means the course is familiar. But until that first win arrives, punters are essentially betting on a breakthrough rather than proven ability to close it out.
C. Whiteley(6)
·
D. O'Meara
· 4yo
· 9st 13lb
· OR 64
HeadgearTrainer
6.8
Wearing visorTrainer in formWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Fifteen races into a career and still searching for a first win — this is the least successful horse in the field by that measure, though eight placed finishes show it's competitive enough to be involved. The trainer is in decent form, winning 3 from 13 races in the last two weeks, which is the best in the field among active yards. A run at this exact course 33 days ago resulted in a 4th, so Catterick holds no secrets, but a first win remains elusive.
Won at this course & distanceWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Carries the second lowest weight in the race, which is an advantage in a handicap, but the record on normal ground — today's conditions — shows zero wins from five attempts. Drawn in stall 14, the highest in the field, and the draw data shows the high draw has only a 10% win rate at this course and distance. The recent 4th at Musselburgh was encouraging, but the combination of ground record and draw makes this a tricky proposition.
Won at this course & distanceFresh (146 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
At 57 career races, this is one of the most experienced horses in the field, but experience hasn't translated into recent results — three moderate finishes before a five-month absence that mirrors Carlton And Co's lay-off. The jockey-trainer partnership has never won together in eight attempts, which is another caution flag. Returning from a long break without encouraging form to back it up makes this a difficult pick.
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Won here 2 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
One of only a handful of horses in this field with course experience that has led to wins — two victories at Catterick — which is a meaningful credential. The problem is today's normal ground, where she has never won in six attempts; her three career wins on good or faster ground tell you she wants the surface quicker than today offers. Back-to-back poor runs before arriving here don't help the case either.
S. Farmer(3)
·
S. Spencer
· 8yo
· 9st 10lb
· OR 61
FormTrack
4.2
Won 1 of last 5Won here 4 timesHas won on this groundWon at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
The standout facts here are compelling: the best career win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 6 races, and crucially, four wins from 14 races at Catterick specifically — making this the only proven course specialist in today's field. The last run here 19 days ago was disappointing, but the run before that was a 3rd at the same track. Normal ground is less familiar territory than the wet conditions he excels on, but his Catterick record demands respect.
Best record at this trip (3 from 14)Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
T. Kiely-Marshall
·
C. Kellett
· 7yo
· 9st 9lb
· OR 60
HeadgearForm
1.6
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Six races without a win and a record of zero wins from five races on right-handed sharp tracks — exactly what Catterick is — makes this a tough sell at 23.0. Most of her best work has come at Wolverhampton, a very different type of track, and a new jockey is aboard today for the first time. Hard to make a case.
Fresh (146 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
This horse hasn't raced in nearly five months, which is the longest absence of anyone in this field — always a concern when returning to action. The most recent run before that break was a distant 10th, and while there was a win earlier in that campaign, today's normal ground suits reasonably well based on her record. Hard to trust without a recent run to confirm she's ready.
Absent 146 days (longest in field)Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Won here 2 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The oldest horse in the field at ten, rated 12lbs below the field average — the biggest gap of any runner — and carrying the lightest weight as a result. Two consecutive finishes of 12th and 13th are deeply discouraging, and on normal ground conditions he's never won in six attempts. The extra weight relief helps on paper, but the form and the ratings gap make this a very long shot.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.