Wearing cheekpiecesQuick turnaroundWon 2 of last 5Has won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 3.0 and for good reason — this horse has won its last two races in the space of just seven days, and with the best win rate in the entire field at roughly 1 in 5, it arrives in red-hot form. The big unknown is stamina: it races again after just two days' rest, which is extraordinarily quick, and it's worth watching to see if the wheels come off. If it's fit enough, it's the main threat to Eutropia.
Runs again after just 2 daysBest career win rate in field (1 in 5)Market favourite (3.0)
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
One of the most experienced horses in this field with 31 career races under its belt, but that experience hasn't translated into Bath form. Drew well in stall 2, which is in the favoured low-draw zone, though a drift from favourite to 9.5 in the market suggests punters aren't convinced. Wins roughly 1 in 10 races overall, and recent form is patchy at best.
This is the horse to beat, and the editorial verdict backs it up. Eutropia has won both of its last two races — both at this very course, Bath — making it the only horse in the field with multiple wins here, and those wins came in the last 35 days. Drawn in stall 4, right in the heart of the low-draw zone that wins 12% of races at this course and distance, everything lines up.
Has won twice in its last six races but the two most recent runs — fifth and ninth — suggest it may be coming off the boil. The data flags a poor record on normal ground with no wins from five attempts on these conditions, which is a real concern given today's surface. At 15.0 in the market, the price reflects the risk.
Won at this course & distanceWon 1 of last 5Won here 2 timesWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Shares the same hot recent form angle as Eutropia — three finishes in the top three in a row, including a win at Bath 23 days ago — making this arguably the biggest danger to the favourite. Drawn in stall 3, also in the favoured low-draw zone, and the jockey-trainer combination of Rossa Ryan and Grace Harris wins roughly 1 in 7 races together. The key question is whether it can go one better than Eutropia, whom it finished behind last time out.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Has finished second and third in its last two runs, both at Bath, so it clearly handles this course — but it has only won once from 26 career races, a sobering record of roughly 1 in 26. The jockey-trainer combination of Hollie Doyle and Grace Harris has yet to win together in 12 attempts, which is worth noting. Placed form is consistent, but a winning breakthrough here looks a stretch.
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Drawn in the worst stall in the field — number 14, the highest draw — at a course where high draws win only 7% of races over a mile. Just beaten half a length at Kempton last time out, which is an encouraging effort, and the data shows it handles normal ground better than most conditions it's faced. The draw makes this very tough, though.
A mid-market runner at 13.0 who was beaten nearly nine lengths last time out at Lingfield — that's a poor effort from a horse with a decent overall record of 4 wins from 27 races. Drawn in the middle of the pack in stall 9, which historically is less favourable at Bath over a mile. Hard to make a strong case based on recent form.
Wearing blinkersWon 1 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Arrives here in fine form — three consecutive top-three finishes including a win 52 days ago — but its strength is at Wolverhampton, where it has won 3 from 12 races, rather than Bath. Drawn high in stall 13, the least favourable part of the course at this distance, which is an immediate disadvantage. On six wins from 38 career races it's a solid performer, but it faces tougher conditions here than it's used to.
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The standout data point is that this horse has the best record in the field at today's trip of one mile, with four wins from 15 career races over this distance — a win rate of roughly 1 in 4 at the trip. The problem is that form has completely fallen away, with three very poor runs including a near 12-length beating at this course 35 days ago. Past distance form is compelling; current form is not.
The oldest horse in the field at nine years old, and has been placed in 14 of its 43 career races, so it's a horse that earns its place. However, the data shows zero wins from 10 attempts on normal ground conditions — a serious red flag for today — and despite a promising second at Bath recently, its overall profile doesn't suggest it can turn that into a victory. Experience is there, but the ground record works against it.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
The least experienced horse in the field with just three career races, and has yet to win or place in any of them. Crucially, it has never raced on normal ground conditions before, so today is an unknown quantity in that regard, and it returns after 120 days away — the longest absence of any runner here. Very hard to recommend with any confidence.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (3 career races)Absent 120 days (longest in field)
The lowest-rated horse in the field, sitting 13lbs below the average rating — a significant gap in a race like this. Eleven races, zero wins, zero places, and beaten over 16 lengths last time out at this very course: the data offers nothing to work with. The longest odds in the field at 101.0 reflect the reality honestly.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.