Antiquity

That said, the wider numbers deserve some honesty. Antiquity typically races at Class 5, which is the entry level of British racing, and at that level it has won only 1 from 14 attempts — just 7%, or roughly 1 in every 14 races. For context, a horse winning 1 in 7 of its Lingfield races but only 1 in 14 at Class 5 overall is telling you something: away from its favourite track, it has found things harder. Eight places from 27 races shows it is competitive and rarely runs a complete dud, but converting those near-misses into wins has proved tricky on unfamiliar ground.

The partnership with jockey Saffie Osborne is worth noting, not least because she is also the daughter of the trainer, Jamie Osborne, who operates out of Upper Lambourn in Berkshire. They have ridden together 13 times, winning twice — a 15% win rate, or roughly 1 in every 6 rides — which mirrors the horse's overall career average almost exactly. Jamie Osborne's yard has sent out 48 winners this season, so this is a busy, successful operation that clearly knows what it is doing. The recent form figures — a win two runs ago, a second the run before that, and a seventh most recently — suggest Antiquity is a horse that runs consistently without always finding the top gear, though that February win is the most important data point: it shows the ceiling is there when conditions are right.

Raced just yesterday, Antiquity is as active as any horse in training right now. If it turns up at Lingfield again, you would be foolish not to pay attention.