The market favourite heading into this race, Jamada arrives on the back of a win at Fakenham 32 days ago and has finished in the top three in six of eight career races — a level of consistency that makes this horse stand out in the field. Wins roughly 1 in 4 races overall, and that record improves further over distances of 2 miles and beyond. Hard to ignore at the head of the market.
Fresh (184 days off)Won 1 of last 5Loves this ground (50% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 3 races, and the editorial verdict confirms that last month's Uttoxeter win came the hard way — forced to switch wide before the final flight and still managing to get the job done. However, this horse has never won on normal ground conditions in seven attempts, and today's standard surface is the one clear reason for caution.
Best record on this ground (2 from 4)Absent 184 days (longest in field)Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Still chasing a first career win from four races, Land Of Punt is the second-shortest price in the market despite having never won — a reflection of the fact that placings in both recent runs suggest improvement is coming. This is the least experienced horse in the field and is priced as though the market expects that breakthrough to happen here.
Fresh (121 days off)Won 1 of last 5Loves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
One of the least experienced horses in this field with just nine career races, Uhtred Ragnarson also hasn't been seen on a racecourse for 121 days after falling at Newbury. That fall is a concern, and while this five-year-old has shown ability in placing seven times from nine races, it arrives here rusty and with questions to answer.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Juan Bermudez ran a real eye-catcher last time out, beaten just under a third of a length at Stratford — a performance that suggests this horse is in good nick right now. The downside is that the jockey and trainer have never won together in 23 attempts, which is a number that is hard to overlook when weighing up the chances.
D. Butler(10)
·
A. J Martin
· 7yo
· 10st 12lb
· OR 93
HeadgearFreshness
8.4
Wearing hoodFresh (68 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field, sitting 9lbs below the average rating — a significant gap that means this horse is giving away a real advantage to most of its rivals. Crucially, A Good Yomp has never raced on normal ground conditions before, so how it handles today's surface is a genuine unknown that adds risk on top of the rating deficit.
Lowest rated, 9lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldNever raced on normal ground
Wearing hoodWon 0 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
One win from 22 career races is a modest return, and three consecutive finishes of seventh, seventh and fourth paint a picture of a horse that is not threatening at the business end right now. The data also highlights a record of zero wins on the type of left-handed tracks this course presents, which is another mark against.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (25% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
At 11 years old, Lively Citizen is the oldest horse in this field and arrives on the back of two consecutive pulls-up before a fifth at Haydock last month — recent form that is hard to spin positively. The second-highest rated horse here on paper, but the legs and enthusiasm of an 11-year-old are always worth questioning, and the evidence right now points in the wrong direction.
Wearing blinkersFresh (166 days off)Won 2 of last 5Has won on this groundWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
The standout stat for Grey Skies is a record of two wins from three races at this exact trip of 2m 1f — no other horse in the field can match that specific figure over this distance. The concern is that this 10-year-old has been off the track for over five months and was beaten a long way in its last two outings. A lot of faith required.
Eighteen races and still waiting for a first win — Promethean is the only horse in this field alongside Land Of Punt yet to get off the mark, but unlike Land Of Punt, it has had far more chances to do so. The recent form reads 3-8-8, with two heavy beatings at Carlisle sandwiching a distant third, and that makes it very difficult to make a case here.
T. Midgley(3)
·
P. Midgley
· 7yo
· 11st 7lb
· OR 102
Form
0.7
Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
One win from 31 career races tells you almost everything you need to know about Theophilos, and that sole victory came over two years ago. The data also flags a record of zero wins from 12 races on normal ground and zero wins from nine races on standard surfaces — today's conditions look like exactly the wrong fit.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.