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Juan Bermudez

There is something quietly compelling about Juan Bermudez. A seven-year-old who has won 5 races from 28 — roughly 1 in every 6 outings — might not sound like a headline act, but the numbers hide a horse with a very particular talent: give him Stratford-on-Avon and he becomes a different animal entirely.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Nathaniel
Mother
Long Face
Owner
N Stockley
Rating
105

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
28
Career races
5
Wins
17.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
39.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Three wins from seven races at Stratford is a remarkable record for any horse at any level. Nearly half his visits to that track have ended in victory, which is the kind of ratio most racehorses never get close to. Whether it is the shape of the course, the ground, or something in the atmosphere, Juan Bermudez simply runs better there than anywhere else. His most recent win came at Stratford on 17 June 2025, and the yard will almost certainly be plotting a return.

Away from his favourite venue, life is harder. He competes mainly in Class 4 races — solid, competitive mid-tier events — and has won just 2 of his 15 races at that level, a win rate of around 13%, or roughly 1 in every 7 attempts. That gap between his Stratford record and his form everywhere else tells you almost everything about how to read his chances on a given day. His first career win, and his one notable scalp, came at Newmarket in October 2021 in a Class 2 race — one of the top tier events in British racing — which suggests there is genuine ability in there when conditions click.

His regular rider Lilly Pinchin has yet to get him into the winner's enclosure in six attempts together, though that is as much a reflection of where and when they have met up as anything else. Trainer Henry Oliver, based in Abberley in Worcestershire, has sent out 7 winners already this season — a yard in decent form. Recent runs have been quietly encouraging too: his last six results read 1-14-6-5-2-2 in reverse order, meaning he finished first, then had a rough patch, and has come back to post back-to-back second-place finishes most recently. That is a horse finding his feet again. With Stratford likely on the horizon, the timing feels right.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard_to_slow ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
Course specialist at Stratford-on-Avon: 3 wins from 7 starts (43%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
15 May
2nd
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners
19 Apr
2nd
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 15 runners
28 Mar
5th
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
6 Oct
6th
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
16 Sep
14th
Uttoxeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 16 runners
17 Jun
🏆 Won
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
31 May
3rd
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 15 runners
30 Apr
6th
Southwell
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard_To_Slow · 7 runners
12 Apr
5th
Bangor-on-Dee
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
29 Mar
8th
Uttoxeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
33.3%
Win rate
2/6
Won / Rode
Lilly Pinchin Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
7 3 wins, 1 second, 1 third, 2 other 19 Apr 42.9%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
3 3 other 16 Sep 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 7 Dec 50%
Leicester
Sharp
2 2 other 14 Apr 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 win 20 Oct 100%
Bangor-on-Dee
Sharp
1 1 other 12 Apr 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 12 May 0%
Worcester
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Sep 0%
Aintree
Galloping
1 1 second 15 May 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 30 Apr 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 other 30 Sep 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 third 21 Oct 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Mar 0%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 other 25 Apr 0%
Fakenham
Tight
1 1 third 15 Mar 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 16 Jun 0%
Huntingdon
Galloping
1 1 second 9 May 0%
Cartmel
Tight
1 1 other 20 Jul 0%