The standout fact here is that this horse has won 2 of its 3 races at this trip — nobody else in the field comes close to that record over 2m 4f. He won at Newcastle last month and was beaten just over a length at Haydock shortly after, so he arrives in fine form, and at 5.5 he's attractively priced given how well this distance suits him.
Wearing hoodFresh (64 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The market has made this the favourite, and the most obvious reason is his second-place finish at this exact track just 35 days ago — beaten less than two lengths. His overall win rate of roughly 1 in 8 is modest, but he's clearly competitive at Aintree right now, though an apprentice jockey claiming a weight allowance is a factor to weigh up.
Market favourite (5.2)
Trainer Quotes
Mar 2024
"He's solid and very consistent. He'll go chasing after May 1. There's nothing major jumping out for him at any of the festivals. He had a rating of 116 before he last ran. He's done very little wrong and it was a £70,000 race he won last time out. He's a six-year-old who jumps, stays and has a big heart, so now is the natural time to go chasing. He cost only £16,000. We could end up targeting him towards the Summer Plate or something similar. 06-03-24"
Nov 2023
"He's in good form after winning a big handicap chase for us last time out. Like Any News, we won't be running him on the winter ground but the plan will be to have him back out again before the end of the season. He's done very little wrong for us and I think he can step up again. 27-11-23"
Wearing hoodWon 2 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (25% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Two wins in a row at Bangor and Haydock put this five-year-old in good heart coming here, which makes the 11th-place finish at Aintree last month slightly puzzling. He drops back into this company on the back of that decent winning streak, and at a reasonable price, the recent back-to-back victories are worth taking seriously.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2025
"Bought before the Cheltenham Festival, he ran a hell of a race in the Fred Winter. Then it was probably one run too many at Ayr. He was running well on his comeback at Chepstow - he just overraced a bit - and he had a really heavy fall. He was lucky to come out of it, but he's cantering again now and he's fine. We've always thought he'll be ideal for those handicap hurdles at Musselburgh. We might drop him in and get him to relax. 30-10-25"
Fresh (65 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (30% win rate)Won at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
The second-highest rated horse in the field, and a genuinely decent career record of 8 wins from 27 races — roughly 3 in every 10 — suggests a quality performer on his day. The problem is his recent form: 11th at this very track last month and 19th at Cheltenham before that, with odds drifting sharply, point to a horse that is well below his best right now.
2nd highest rated (OR 136)
Trainer Quotes
Feb 2026
"He'll have entries in the handicaps. He won the Silver Trophy at Chepstow at the start of the season and the handicapper has probably got hold of him. He ran all right in the Coral Cup a couple of years back. 12-02-26"
Nov 2023
"He won very well at Newton Abbot and ran well when third at Cheltenham last week. He looks progressive and we could go over fences with him later in the season, but we'll go for one last run over hurdles and try to win a nice pot. 01-11-23"
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (67% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
This horse has already won at Aintree and boasts the best record on normal ground of anyone in the field — winning 4 of 6 races in these conditions, which is a remarkable return. He's been runner-up twice at Newcastle in recent weeks, so he's very much in form, though it's worth noting his jockey and trainer have yet to win together in 13 attempts.
Has won over this course and distanceBest record on this ground (4 from 6)
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The top-rated horse in this field by 3lbs, and crucially the only runner who has already won over this exact course and distance — that Aintree victory came back in November 2021. At 13, he's a remarkable veteran still competing at a serious level, but his odds drifted dramatically on the day and recent form shows he's been beaten well in his last few outings.
Top rated by 3lbsHas won over this course and distance
The editorial tip for this race, despite a 90-day absence — the longest of anyone in the field — and a puzzling 13th-place collapse at Ascot last time out. The key argument in his favour is that the Ascot run is written off as an anomaly, and before that he was running consistently well, but punters clearly need persuading given the odds have drifted to 11-to-1.
At 34-to-1, this is comfortably the longest shot in the field, and the recent form makes it hard to argue otherwise — 19th here last month and 7th before that. The data shows no wins on either normal or soft ground, which covers most eventualities, and at just five years old, this looks a race too far too soon.
One of the most experienced horses in the field with 33 races under his belt, but that experience comes with a concerning pattern — three consecutive fourth-place finishes, beaten well each time. His record on this normal ground is particularly telling: zero wins from 17 attempts, which is the longest losing run on this surface of anyone in the race.
Stepping up in classQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field by some distance — 12lbs below the field average — and drops two classes from where he's been racing recently, which in theory helps. However, he has never won on normal ground in 14 attempts, has never won on a left-handed galloping track in 16 attempts, and this is the first time his jockey and trainer have worked together, making this a very big ask.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldDrops 2 classes from usual level
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 2 of last 5Loves this ground (50% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
On paper, this horse has the best career win rate in the entire field — winning roughly 1 in every 3 races — but the two most recent runs tell a very different story: he pulled up at both Southwell and Doncaster without completing the course. Until there's a clear explanation for those two non-finishes, that impressive headline record has to be treated with serious caution.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.