Won at this course & distanceFresh (63 days off)Won 3 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Ombudsman is the class of this field by a clear margin — rated 8lbs above the second-favourite and winning two out of every three races he runs. He's proved he can win here, has two straight victories under his belt, and gets the low draw (1) which historically favours winners at York over this distance.
Top rated by 8lbsHas won over this course and distance3 straight top-3 finishesMarket favourite (2.28)
Constitution River arrives with a stunning record of four wins from five races and is in the middle of a four-race winning streak, but this is a significant step up in class from his previous victories. Dropping two classes suggests his the yard see this as a genuine test, and despite his raw win rate being exceptional, the better-rated Ombudsman and Almaqam represent tougher opposition.
Drops 2 classes from usual level3 straight top-3 finishesBest career win rate in field (1 in 1)
Trainer Quotes
Mar 2026
"He's very good. He won his last two races last year, including the Futurity at the Curragh, but then had a mishap and missed the rest of the season. Roger [Quinlan] was very happy with him at the Curragh on Sunday. He could go the French Derby route. 31-03-26"
Fresh (63 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (40% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Almaqam is a horse that saves his best for the biggest stages — all three of his career wins have come at the highest level. He's unbeaten on normal ground (2 from 5), which perfectly suits today's conditions at York, and his second-place finish here a year ago shows he knows this course intimately.
Best record on this ground (2 from 5)
Trainer Quotes
Jun 2025
"He was a good winner of the Brigadier Gerard but Ascot comes soon enough and it looks like the ground will be too quick for him to run. We'll monitor conditions and we'll be ready in case it comes right, but it doesn't look likely. 10-06-25"
Apr 2025
"He's the apple of my eye, is in good nick and heads to Sandown for the Gordon Richards Stakes next week. He's very exciting. He was only narrowly beaten by the ill-fated Jayarebe at Longchamp and I'm really looking forward to a big season with him. I think he's the real deal and can bridge that gap required to make him a top-class racehorse. He'll probably stay at 1m2f and is best with a bit of ease in the ground. 16-04-25"
Stepping up in classWon 4 of last 5Won here 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Item is dropping three classes after winning at York just three weeks ago, which typically signals either a sharp decline or a horse being stepped back in grade to find easier pickings. His 75% win rate across four races is impressive, but a ninth-place thrashing at Epsom two months ago suggests his form is inconsistent.
Hawk Mountain has solid form with three wins from five races and three straight top-3 finishes, but he's a clear step below the two market favourites on ratings and recent form. His third-place finish at Sandown just 46 days ago shows he's competitive at this level, though the weight of evidence favours the higher-rated runners.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Trainer Quotes
Mar 2026
"He won three last year, including the Futurity Trophy at Doncaster. He went very well at the Curragh on Sunday. Dean [Gallagher] rode him and he was very happy with him. Ryan worked him during the week too and was very happy. He'll be trained for Epsom or France, but listening to the lads he could go for the French Derby and have a trial for it. He'd be very comfortable at a mile and a quarter and is a very good horse. 31-03-26"
Zaydann is a racecourse debutant with no form to assess — he's stepping into a Group 1 race on his first outing, which is an extreme ask. The breeding pedigree (Dubawi out of a Siyouni mare) is excellent, but there's no track record whatsoever to justify his inclusion in this calibre of contest.
Won at this course & distanceWon 2 of last 5Won here 2 timesLoves this ground (33% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Pride of Arras has won twice at York at the highest level and just finished second here three weeks ago, proving he belongs in this company. However, he's returning from a 231-day absence before that recent run, which raises questions about his readiness for another top-level test so quickly.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (63 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Devil's Advocate is completely out of his depth here. He's won just twice in 11 races and has never won on normal or fast ground (0 from 7 starts combined), making him a poor fit for today's conditions and this class.
Action has won just once in eight races and has never won on normal ground (0 from 4 starts), making him badly suited to both today's surface and this class level. His recent form is poor — beaten heavily in his last three starts — and at 390.0 odds, the market has rightly written him off.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.